SoonerPoll.com
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 22
- Mean absolute error
- 7.73percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+4.20
- Represented cycles
- 102004–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 14, 2004through Oct 26, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022
22 eligible historical polls across 10 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
22 shown · 22 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2022-10-26 | 324 | D+3.3 | R+13.7 | D+17.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2020-10-18 | 5,466 | R+19.5 | R+30.2 | D+10.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OK | Pres-G | 2020-10-18 | 5,466 | R+22.0 | R+33.1 | D+11.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_OK-5 | House-G | 2020-10-18 | 943 | D+1.8 | R+4.1 | D+5.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_OK-1 | House-G | 2020-10-18 | 1,492 | R+29.0 | R+31.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2018-11-02 | 338 | R+2.9 | R+12.1 | D+9.2 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_OK-5 | House-G | 2018-10-29 | 440 | R+11.5 | D+1.4 | R+12.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2018-10-24 | 447 | R+4.8 | R+12.1 | D+7.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_OK | Pres-G | 2016-10-19 | 530 | R+30.0 | R+36.4 | D+6.4 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2014-10-27 | 949 | R+34.9 | R+39.5 | D+4.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-GS_OK | Sen-G | 2014-10-27 | 949 | R+31.3 | R+38.9 | D+7.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2014-10-27 | 949 | R+8.4 | R+14.8 | D+6.4 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_OK-2 | House-G | 2012-10-28 | 300 | R+12.0 | R+19.0 | D+7.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OK | Pres-G | 2012-10-21 | 305 | R+25.9 | R+33.5 | D+7.6 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2010-10-21 | 753 | R+18.0 | R+20.9 | D+2.9 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2008-10-25 | 720 | R+10.0 | R+17.5 | D+7.5 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_OK | Pres-G | 2008-10-25 | 720 | R+27.0 | R+31.3 | D+4.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2008-10-20 | 763 | R+13.0 | R+17.5 | D+4.5 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_OK | Pres-G | 2008-10-20 | 763 | R+32.0 | R+31.3 | R+0.7 |
| 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2006-10-21 | 547 | D+43.0 | D+33.0 | D+10.0 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2004-10-21 | 500 | R+1.2 | R+11.5 | D+10.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2004-10-14 | 500 | D+2.7 | R+11.5 | D+14.2 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.