Saint Leo University Polling Institute
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 6
- Mean absolute error
- 8.50percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.83
- Represented cycles
- 32014–2018
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 18, 2014through Oct 19, 2018
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2014 · 2016 · 2018
6 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 6 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2018-10-19 | 698 | D+8.2 | R+0.1 | D+8.3 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2018-10-19 | 698 | D+11.8 | R+0.4 | D+12.2 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2016-10-24 | 1,028 | R+4.9 | R+7.7 | D+2.8 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-24 | 1,050 | D+11.1 | D+2.1 | D+9.0 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2016-10-24 | 1,028 | D+13.4 | R+1.2 | D+14.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2014-10-18 | 500 | D+3.0 | R+1.1 | D+4.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.