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Pollster file

Saint Anselm College Survey Center

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
9
Mean absolute error
4.82percentage points
Historical bias
R+0.90
Represented cycles
22020–2022
Current archive
25canonical records
History span
Oct 25, 2020through Oct 29, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Saint Anselm College
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2020 · 2022

9 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 25 total

Pappas +7

Chris Pappas 48% · John Sununu 41%

Field dates
Aug 17–Aug 18, 2026
Sample
1,411 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Ayotte +11

Kelly Ayotte 49% · Cinde Warmington 38%

Field dates
Aug 17–Aug 18, 2026
Sample
1,411 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Goodlander +15

Maggie Goodlander 50% · Lily Tang Williams 35%

Field dates
Aug 17–Aug 18, 2026
Sample
701 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary

New Hampshire’s 1st · House

Sullivan +2

Carleigh Beriont 12% · Sarah Chadzynski 0% · Heath Howard 7% · Stefany Shaheen 24% · Maura Sullivan 26% · Christian Urrutia 3%

Field dates
Aug 18, 2026
Sample
359 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary

New Hampshire’s 1st · House

DiLorenzo +13

Melissa Bailey 1% · Brian Cole 8% · Anthony DiLorenzo 30% · Holly Noveletsky 17%

Field dates
Aug 18, 2026
Sample
351 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary

New Hampshire’s 1st · House

Shaheen +7

Carleigh Beriont 3% · Sarah Chadzynski 1% · Heath Howard 9% · Stefany Shaheen 22% · Maura Sullivan 15% · Christian Urrutia 3%

Field dates
Jun 25, 2026
Sample
398 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary

New Hampshire’s 1st · House

Noveletsky +3

Melissa Bailey 2% · Brian Cole 8% · Anthony DiLorenzo 13% · Holly Noveletsky 16%

Field dates
Jun 25, 2026
Sample
377 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

9 shown · 9 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2022NH · SenateSen-G2022-10-291,541R+1.0D+9.1R+10.1
2022NH-2 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-29750D+8.0D+11.7R+3.7
2022NH-1 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-29791R+6.0D+8.1R+14.1
2022NH · GovernorGov-G2022-10-291,541R+18.0R+15.6R+2.4
2020NH · SenateSen-G2020-10-251,018D+15.0D+15.7R+0.7
2020NH · PresidentPres-G2020-10-251,018D+8.0D+7.4D+0.6
2020NH-2 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-25458D+15.0D+10.2D+4.8
2020NH-1 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-25560D+5.0D+5.1R+0.1
2020NH · GovernorGov-G2020-10-251,018R+25.0R+31.8D+6.8

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.