Primary · D primary
Pappas +31New Hampshire · Senate
Karishma Manzur 28% · Chris Pappas 59%
- Field dates
- Aug 18, 2026
- Sample
- 733 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Saint Anselm College Survey Center
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 9
- Mean absolute error
- 4.82percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.90
- Represented cycles
- 22020–2022
- Current archive
- 26canonical records
- History span
- Oct 25, 2020through Oct 29, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Saint Anselm College
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020 · 2022
9 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 26 total
Primary · R primary
Sununu +30New Hampshire · Senate
Scott Brown 24% · John E. Sununu 54%
- Field dates
- Aug 18, 2026
- Sample
- 678 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
DiLorenzo +13NH-01 · House
Melissa Bailey 1% · Brian Cole 8% · Anthony DiLorenzo 30% · Holly Noveletsky 17%
- Field dates
- Aug 18, 2026
- Sample
- 351 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Goodlander +49NH-02 · House
Maggie Goodlander 66% · Paige Beauchemin 17%
- Field dates
- Aug 18, 2026
- Sample
- 374 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Williams +46NH-02 · House
Lily Tang Williams 53% · Victor Orlando 7%
- Field dates
- Aug 18, 2026
- Sample
- 327 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Sullivan +2NH-01 · House
Carleigh Beriont 12% · Sarah Chadzynski 0% · Heath Howard 7% · Stefany Shaheen 24% · Maura Sullivan 26% · Christian Urrutia 3%
- Field dates
- Aug 18, 2026
- Sample
- 359 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Goodlander +67NH-02 · House
Maggie Goodlander 76% · Paige Beauchemin 9%
- Field dates
- Jun 25, 2026
- Sample
- 412 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Williams +49NH-02 · House
Lily Tang Williams 56% · Victor Orlando 7%
- Field dates
- Jun 25, 2026
- Sample
- 362 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Pappas +42New Hampshire · Senate
Karishma Manzur 20% · Chris Pappas 62%
- Field dates
- Jun 25, 2026
- Sample
- 810 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Sununu +38New Hampshire · Senate
Scott Brown 21% · John E. Sununu 59%
- Field dates
- Jun 25, 2026
- Sample
- 739 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Shaheen +7NH-01 · House
Carleigh Beriont 3% · Sarah Chadzynski 1% · Heath Howard 9% · Stefany Shaheen 22% · Maura Sullivan 15% · Christian Urrutia 3%
- Field dates
- Jun 25, 2026
- Sample
- 398 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Noveletsky +3NH-01 · House
Melissa Bailey 2% · Brian Cole 8% · Anthony DiLorenzo 13% · Holly Noveletsky 16%
- Field dates
- Jun 25, 2026
- Sample
- 377 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
9 shown · 9 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2022-10-29 | 1,541 | R+1.0 | D+9.1 | R+10.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2022-10-29 | 750 | D+8.0 | D+11.7 | R+3.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2022-10-29 | 791 | R+6.0 | D+8.1 | R+14.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2022-10-29 | 1,541 | R+18.0 | R+15.6 | R+2.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,018 | D+15.0 | D+15.7 | R+0.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,018 | D+8.0 | D+7.4 | D+0.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2020-10-25 | 458 | D+15.0 | D+10.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2020-10-25 | 560 | D+5.0 | D+5.1 | R+0.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2020-10-25 | 1,018 | R+25.0 | R+31.8 | D+6.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.