Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 17
- Mean absolute error
- 6.68percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.61
- Represented cycles
- 122000–2021
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 25, 2000through Oct 24, 2021
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2000 · 2001 · 2002 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2009 · 2010 · 2013 · 2018 · 2020 · 2021
17 eligible historical polls across 12 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
17 shown · 17 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2021_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2021-10-24 | 901 | D+8.0 | D+3.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2020-10-21 | 872 | D+30.0 | D+16.3 | D+13.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2020-10-21 | 872 | D+24.0 | D+15.9 | D+8.1 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2018-10-16 | 496 | D+5.0 | D+11.2 | R+6.2 |
| 2013 | 2013_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2013-10-31 | 535 | R+36.0 | R+22.1 | R+13.9 |
| 2013 | 2013_Sen-GS_NJ | Sen-G | 2013-10-10 | 513 | D+22.0 | D+10.9 | D+11.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_NJ-3 | House-G | 2010-10-24 | 292 | D+1.0 | R+2.7 | D+3.7 |
| 2009 | 2009_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2009-10-18 | 583 | D+3.0 | R+3.6 | D+6.6 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2006-10-30 | 500 | D+4.0 | D+16.0 | R+12.0 |
| 2005 | 2005_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2005-11-03 | 724 | D+6.0 | D+10.4 | R+4.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2004-10-28 | 740 | D+4.0 | D+6.7 | R+2.7 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2004-10-16 | 661 | D+13.0 | D+6.7 | D+6.3 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2002-10-29 | 458 | D+12.0 | D+9.9 | D+2.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2002-10-15 | 600 | D+5.0 | D+9.9 | R+4.9 |
| 2001 | 2001_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2001-11-01 | 745 | D+17.0 | D+14.8 | D+2.2 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2000-10-25 | 432 | D+10.0 | D+3.0 | D+7.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2000-10-25 | 432 | D+12.0 | D+15.8 | R+3.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.