RT Strategies
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 45
- Mean absolute error
- 5.90percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.63
- Represented cycles
- 12006
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 21, 2006through Oct 28, 2006
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2006
All 45 eligible historical polls come from one cycle, so this record does not yet describe performance across elections.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
45 shown · 45 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | national · House | House-G | 2006-10-28 | 703.5 | D+24.5 | D+8.2 | D+16.3 |
| 2006 | WI-8 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 984 | D+6.0 | D+2.1 | D+3.9 |
| 2006 | WA-8 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,004 | D+2.0 | R+2.9 | D+4.9 |
| 2006 | WA-5 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 991 | R+5.0 | R+12.8 | D+7.8 |
| 2006 | VA-2 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 989 | D+5.0 | R+2.8 | D+7.8 |
| 2006 | PA-8 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 994 | D+3.0 | D+0.6 | D+2.4 |
| 2006 | PA-7 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 600 | D+7.0 | D+12.8 | R+5.8 |
| 2006 | PA-6 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,006 | D+5.0 | R+1.3 | D+6.3 |
| 2006 | PA-4 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,008 | R+4.0 | D+3.9 | R+7.9 |
| 2006 | PA-10 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 600 | D+7.0 | D+5.9 | D+1.1 |
| 2006 | OH-2 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 972 | R+5.0 | R+1.1 | R+3.9 |
| 2006 | OH-12 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,002 | R+5.0 | R+14.6 | D+9.6 |
| 2006 | OH-1 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 999 | D+2.0 | R+4.5 | D+6.5 |
| 2006 | NY-3 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 982 | R+7.0 | R+12.1 | D+5.1 |
| 2006 | NY-29 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,004 | D+11.0 | R+2.9 | D+13.9 |
| 2006 | NY-25 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,020 | D+9.0 | R+1.6 | D+10.6 |
| 2006 | NY-20 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,040 | D+11.0 | D+6.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2006 | NY-19 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 944 | D+2.0 | D+2.4 | R+0.4 |
| 2006 | NV-3 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,031 | R+7.0 | R+1.9 | R+5.1 |
| 2006 | NJ-7 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,013 | R+3.0 | R+1.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2006 | NH-2 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 988 | D+3.0 | D+7.1 | R+4.1 |
| 2006 | NC-8 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 999 | D+4.0 | R+0.3 | D+4.3 |
| 2006 | NC-11 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,002 | D+9.0 | D+7.6 | D+1.4 |
| 2006 | MN-6 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,056 | R+1.0 | R+8.0 | D+7.0 |
| 2006 | MN-1 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,042 | R+3.0 | D+5.6 | R+8.6 |
| 2006 | KY-4 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 996 | D+4.0 | R+8.3 | D+12.3 |
| 2006 | KY-3 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,010 | D+6.0 | D+2.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2006 | IN-9 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,023 | D+8.0 | D+4.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2006 | IN-8 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,065 | D+10.0 | D+22.0 | R+12.0 |
| 2006 | IN-2 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 977 | D+3.0 | D+8.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2006 | IL-8 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,013 | D+5.0 | D+7.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2006 | IL-6 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 990 | D+1.0 | R+2.7 | D+3.7 |
| 2006 | IL-10 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,008 | D+2.0 | R+6.8 | D+8.8 |
| 2006 | IA-2 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 600 | R+2.0 | D+2.9 | R+4.8 |
| 2006 | FL-22 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 961 | D+2.0 | D+3.8 | R+1.8 |
| 2006 | FL-13 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,005 | D+2.0 | R+0.1 | D+2.1 |
| 2006 | CT-5 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 994 | D+8.0 | D+12.9 | R+4.9 |
| 2006 | CT-4 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 976 | R+9.0 | R+3.4 | R+5.6 |
| 2006 | CT-2 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 947 | D+6.0 | D+0.0 | D+6.0 |
| 2006 | CO-7 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 983 | D+5.0 | D+12.9 | R+7.9 |
| 2006 | CO-4 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 991 | D+3.0 | R+2.5 | D+5.5 |
| 2006 | CA-4 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 954 | R+3.0 | R+3.2 | D+0.2 |
| 2006 | CA-11 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 983 | D+2.0 | D+6.5 | R+4.5 |
| 2006 | AZ-1 · House | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 1,037 | R+2.0 | R+8.3 | D+6.3 |
| 2006 | national · House | House-G | 2006-10-21 | 600 | D+22.0 | D+8.2 | D+13.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.