RRH Elections
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 14
- Mean absolute error
- 4.56percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.39
- Represented cycles
- 82013–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Apr 30, 2013through Nov 1, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2013 · 2014 · 2015 · 2016 · 2017 · 2019 · 2021 · 2022
14 eligible historical polls across 8 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
14 shown · 14 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_VA-7 | House-G | 2022-11-01 | 525 | 0 | D+4.7 | R+4.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_OR-4 | House-G | 2022-11-01 | 529 | 0 | D+7.5 | R+7.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_OH-13 | House-G | 2022-11-01 | 525 | D+2.0 | D+5.3 | R+3.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-OS_TX-34 | House-G | 2022-06-10 | 484 | R+9.0 | R+7.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2021 | 2021_House-GS_NM-1 | House-G | 2021-05-20 | 555 | D+16.0 | D+24.7 | R+8.7 |
| 2019 | 2019_House-GS_NC-9 | House-G | 2019-08-27 | 500 | R+1.0 | R+2.0 | D+1.0 |
| 2019 | 2019_House-GS_NC-3 | House-G | 2019-08-27 | 500 | R+11.0 | R+24.3 | D+13.3 |
| 2017 | 2017_House-OS_GA-6 | House-G | 2017-04-08 | 321 | D+24.0 | D+28.4 | R+4.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_VT | Pres-G | 2016-10-25 | 1,052 | D+26.0 | D+26.6 | R+0.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_Gov-G_VT | Gov-G | 2016-10-25 | 1,052 | R+7.0 | R+8.8 | D+1.8 |
| 2015 | 2015_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2015-11-14 | 359 | D+6.0 | D+12.2 | R+6.2 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_AZ-2 | House-G | 2014-10-22 | 554 | D+2.0 | R+0.1 | D+2.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-GS_FL-13 | House-G | 2014-02-26 | 391 | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2013 | 2013_House-GS_SC-1 | House-G | 2013-04-30 | 650 | 0 | R+8.8 | D+8.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.