Riley Research Associates
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 7
- Mean absolute error
- 2.69percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.23
- Represented cycles
- 32002–2008
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2002through Oct 15, 2008
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2002 · 2006 · 2008
7 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
7 shown · 7 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_OR | Sen-G | 2008-10-15 | 499 | D+1.0 | D+3.4 | R+2.4 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_OR | Pres-G | 2008-10-15 | 499 | D+14.0 | D+16.5 | R+2.5 |
| 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_OR | Gov-G | 2006-10-22 | 445 | D+11.0 | D+8.0 | D+3.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_OR | Sen-G | 2002-10-26 | 604 | R+22.0 | R+16.6 | R+5.4 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_OR | Gov-G | 2002-10-26 | 604 | D+4.0 | D+2.9 | D+1.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_OR | Sen-G | 2002-10-17 | 600 | R+18.0 | R+16.6 | R+1.4 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_OR | Gov-G | 2002-10-17 | 604 | D+6.0 | D+2.9 | D+3.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.