Don't know 9% · Larry Marker 38% · Ben Ray Luján 53%
- Field dates
- Aug 21–Aug 28, 2026
- Sample
- 516 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Albuquerque Journal
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Research & Polling Inc.
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 43
- Mean absolute error
- 4.15percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.75
- Represented cycles
- 131998–2022
- Current archive
- 3canonical records
- History span
- Oct 18, 1998through Oct 24, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022
43 eligible historical polls across 13 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
3 shown · 3 total
Don't know 8% · Gregg Hull 43% · Deb Haaland 49%
- Field dates
- Aug 21–Aug 28, 2026
- Sample
- 516 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Albuquerque Journal
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Luján +15New Mexico · Senate
Ben Ray Luján 53% · Larry Marker 38%
- Field dates
- Aug 21–Aug 28, 2026
- Sample
- 516 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Albuquerque Journal
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
43 shown · 43 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_NM-3 | House-G | 2022-10-24 | 434 | D+18.0 | D+16.3 | D+1.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2022-10-24 | 410 | D+2.0 | D+0.7 | D+1.3 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2022-10-24 | 410 | D+6.0 | D+11.5 | R+5.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NM | Gov-G | 2022-10-24 | 1,254 | D+8.0 | D+6.4 | D+1.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NM | Sen-G | 2020-10-26 | 1,180 | D+8.0 | D+6.1 | D+1.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NM | Pres-G | 2020-10-26 | 1,180 | D+12.0 | D+10.8 | D+1.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_NM-3 | House-G | 2020-10-26 | 347 | D+23.0 | D+17.4 | D+5.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2020-10-26 | 403 | R+2.0 | R+7.5 | D+5.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2020-10-26 | 430 | D+21.0 | D+16.4 | D+4.6 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_NM | Sen-G | 2018-10-29 | 993 | D+20.0 | D+23.6 | R+3.6 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2018-10-29 | 413 | R+1.0 | D+1.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2018-10-29 | 419 | D+12.0 | D+22.8 | R+10.8 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_NM | Gov-G | 2018-10-29 | 993 | D+10.0 | D+14.4 | R+4.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_NM | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 504 | D+5.0 | D+8.2 | R+3.2 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NM | Sen-G | 2014-10-22 | 614 | D+7.0 | D+11.1 | R+4.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_NM | Gov-G | 2014-10-22 | 614 | R+15.0 | R+14.4 | R+0.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_NM | Sen-G | 2012-10-24 | 650 | D+8.0 | D+5.7 | D+2.3 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_NM | Pres-G | 2012-10-24 | 650 | D+9.0 | D+10.2 | R+1.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_NM-3 | House-G | 2012-10-24 | 148 | D+18.0 | D+26.3 | R+8.3 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2012-10-24 | 113 | R+18.0 | R+18.2 | D+0.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2012-10-24 | 401 | D+15.0 | D+18.3 | R+3.3 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2010-10-28 | 402 | R+3.0 | R+10.8 | D+7.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2010-10-28 | 400 | R+3.0 | D+3.6 | R+6.6 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_NM | Gov-G | 2010-10-28 | 1,003 | R+10.0 | R+6.7 | R+3.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_NM | Sen-G | 2008-10-29 | 1,002 | D+14.0 | D+22.7 | R+8.7 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_NM | Pres-G | 2008-10-29 | 1,002 | D+8.0 | D+15.1 | R+7.1 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_NM-3 | House-G | 2008-10-29 | 207 | D+28.0 | D+26.3 | D+1.7 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2008-10-29 | 400 | D+4.0 | D+11.9 | R+7.9 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2008-10-29 | 400 | D+4.0 | D+11.3 | R+7.3 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NM | Sen-G | 2006-11-02 | 503 | D+42.0 | D+41.3 | D+0.7 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_NM-3 | House-G | 2006-11-02 | 168 | D+51.0 | D+49.3 | D+1.7 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2006-11-02 | 168 | R+26.0 | R+18.9 | R+7.1 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2006-11-02 | 503 | D+4.0 | R+0.4 | D+4.4 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2006-10-18 | 168 | D+3.0 | R+0.4 | D+3.4 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NM | Pres-G | 2004-10-28 | 1,140 | R+3.0 | R+0.8 | R+2.2 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2004-10-28 | 289 | R+12.0 | R+20.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2004-10-28 | 568 | R+8.0 | R+8.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NM | Sen-G | 2002-10-30 | 905 | R+38.0 | R+30.1 | R+7.9 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NM-2 | House-G | 2002-10-30 | 280 | R+5.0 | R+12.5 | D+7.5 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NM-1 | House-G | 2002-10-30 | 312 | R+6.0 | R+10.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_NM | Gov-G | 2002-10-30 | 905 | D+18.0 | D+16.4 | D+1.6 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NM | Pres-G | 2000-11-01 | 769 | R+3.0 | D+0.1 | R+3.1 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_NM | Gov-G | 1998-10-18 | 916 | R+10.0 | R+9.1 | R+0.9 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.