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Pollster file

Research & Polling Inc.

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
43
Mean absolute error
4.15percentage points
Historical bias
R+0.75
Represented cycles
131998–2022
Current archive
7canonical records
History span
Oct 18, 1998through Oct 24, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
No additional reviewed aliases
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

43 eligible historical polls across 13 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

7 shown · 7 total

Stansbury +18

Don't know 12% · Ndidiamaka Okpareke 35% · Melanie Ann Stansbury 53%

Field dates
Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026
Sample
380 LV
Sponsor / client
Albuquerque Journal
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Fernandez +14

Don't know 7% · Martin Ruben Zamora 39% · Teresa Leger Fernandez 53%

Field dates
Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026
Sample
362 LV
Sponsor / client
Albuquerque Journal
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Luján +16

Don't know 10% · Larry Marker 37% · Ben Ray Luján 53%

Field dates
Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026
Sample
1,125 LV
Sponsor / client
Albuquerque Journal
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Haaland +7

Don't know 9% · Gregg Hull 42% · Deb Haaland 49%

Field dates
Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026
Sample
1,125 LV
Sponsor / client
Albuquerque Journal
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Vasquez +4

Don't know 8% · Greg Cunningham 44% · Gabriel Vasquez 48%

Field dates
Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026
Sample
383 LV
Sponsor / client
Albuquerque Journal
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Luján +15

Don't know 9% · Larry Marker 38% · Ben Ray Luján 53%

Field dates
Aug 21–Aug 28, 2026
Sample
516 LV
Sponsor / client
Albuquerque Journal
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Haaland +6

Don't know 8% · Gregg Hull 43% · Deb Haaland 49%

Field dates
Aug 21–Aug 28, 2026
Sample
516 LV
Sponsor / client
Albuquerque Journal
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

43 shown · 43 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2022NM-3 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-24434D+18.0D+16.3D+1.7
2022NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-24410D+2.0D+0.7D+1.3
2022NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2022-10-24410D+6.0D+11.5R+5.5
2022NM · GovernorGov-G2022-10-241,254D+8.0D+6.4D+1.6
2020NM · SenateSen-G2020-10-261,180D+8.0D+6.1D+1.9
2020NM · PresidentPres-G2020-10-261,180D+12.0D+10.8D+1.2
2020NM-3 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-26347D+23.0D+17.4D+5.6
2020NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-26403R+2.0R+7.5D+5.5
2020NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-26430D+21.0D+16.4D+4.6
2018NM · SenateSen-G2018-10-29993D+20.0D+23.6R+3.6
2018NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-29413R+1.0D+1.9R+2.9
2018NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-29419D+12.0D+22.8R+10.8
2018NM · GovernorGov-G2018-10-29993D+10.0D+14.4R+4.4
2016NM · PresidentPres-G2016-11-02504D+5.0D+8.2R+3.2
2014NM · SenateSen-G2014-10-22614D+7.0D+11.1R+4.1
2014NM · GovernorGov-G2014-10-22614R+15.0R+14.4R+0.6
2012NM · SenateSen-G2012-10-24650D+8.0D+5.7D+2.3
2012NM · PresidentPres-G2012-10-24650D+9.0D+10.2R+1.1
2012NM-3 · HouseHouse-G2012-10-24148D+18.0D+26.3R+8.3
2012NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2012-10-24113R+18.0R+18.2D+0.2
2012NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2012-10-24401D+15.0D+18.3R+3.3
2010NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-28402R+3.0R+10.8D+7.8
2010NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-28400R+3.0D+3.6R+6.6
2010NM · GovernorGov-G2010-10-281,003R+10.0R+6.7R+3.3
2008NM · SenateSen-G2008-10-291,002D+14.0D+22.7R+8.7
2008NM · PresidentPres-G2008-10-291,002D+8.0D+15.1R+7.1
2008NM-3 · HouseHouse-G2008-10-29207D+28.0D+26.3D+1.7
2008NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2008-10-29400D+4.0D+11.9R+7.9
2008NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2008-10-29400D+4.0D+11.3R+7.3
2006NM · SenateSen-G2006-11-02503D+42.0D+41.3D+0.7
2006NM-3 · HouseHouse-G2006-11-02168D+51.0D+49.3D+1.7
2006NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2006-11-02168R+26.0R+18.9R+7.1
2006NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2006-11-02503D+4.0R+0.4D+4.4
2006NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2006-10-18168D+3.0R+0.4D+3.4
2004NM · PresidentPres-G2004-10-281,140R+3.0R+0.8R+2.2
2004NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2004-10-28289R+12.0R+20.4D+8.4
2004NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2004-10-28568R+8.0R+8.9D+0.9
2002NM · SenateSen-G2002-10-30905R+38.0R+30.1R+7.9
2002NM-2 · HouseHouse-G2002-10-30280R+5.0R+12.5D+7.5
2002NM-1 · HouseHouse-G2002-10-30312R+6.0R+10.7D+4.7
2002NM · GovernorGov-G2002-10-30905D+18.0D+16.4D+1.6
2000NM · PresidentPres-G2000-11-01769R+3.0D+0.1R+3.1
1998NM · GovernorGov-G1998-10-18916R+10.0R+9.1R+0.9

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.