Ann Wagner 43% · Fred Wellman 42%
- Field dates
- Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026
- Sample
- 565 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Remington Research Group
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 52
- Mean absolute error
- 5.18percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.39
- Represented cycles
- 62012–2022
- Current archive
- 1canonical records
- History span
- Oct 22, 2012through Nov 2, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2012 · 2016 · 2018 · 2019 · 2020 · 2022
52 eligible historical polls across 6 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
1 shown · 1 total
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
50 shown · 52 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | PA · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,180 | R+3.0 | D+4.9 | R+7.9 |
| 2022 | OH · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,125 | R+5.0 | R+6.1 | D+1.1 |
| 2022 | NC · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,140 | R+7.0 | R+3.2 | R+3.8 |
| 2022 | GA · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,150 | R+4.0 | D+1.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2022 | AZ · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,075 | D+1.0 | D+4.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2022 | PA · Governor | Gov-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,180 | D+12.0 | D+14.8 | R+2.8 |
| 2022 | OH · Governor | Gov-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,125 | R+23.0 | R+25.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2022 | GA · Governor | Gov-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,150 | R+14.0 | R+7.5 | R+6.5 |
| 2022 | AZ · Governor | Gov-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,075 | R+3.0 | D+0.7 | R+3.7 |
| 2022 | MO · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-10-25 | 1,011 | R+9.0 | R+13.3 | D+4.3 |
| 2020 | MO · President | Pres-G | 2020-10-29 | 1,010 | R+5.0 | R+15.4 | D+10.4 |
| 2020 | MO · Governor | Gov-G | 2020-10-29 | 1,010 | R+6.0 | R+16.4 | D+10.4 |
| 2020 | MO · President | Pres-G | 2020-10-15 | 1,010 | R+6.0 | R+15.4 | D+9.4 |
| 2020 | MO · Governor | Gov-G | 2020-10-15 | 1,010 | R+8.0 | R+16.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2019 | LA · Governor | Gov-G | 2019-09-25 | 1,040 | D+27.0 | D+19.2 | D+7.8 |
| 2018 | MO · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-11-02 | 1,424 | 0 | R+5.8 | D+5.8 |
| 2018 | MO · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-10-25 | 1,376 | R+4.0 | R+5.8 | D+1.8 |
| 2018 | MO · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-10-18 | 1,215 | R+1.0 | R+5.8 | D+4.8 |
| 2018 | FL-15 · House | House-G | 2018-10-18 | 1,369 | R+6.0 | R+6.0 | D+0.0 |
| 2016 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 2,720 | D+8.0 | R+0.8 | D+8.8 |
| 2016 | VA · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 3,076 | D+2.0 | D+5.4 | R+3.4 |
| 2016 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 2,683 | D+1.0 | R+0.7 | D+1.7 |
| 2016 | OH · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 2,557 | R+1.0 | R+8.1 | D+7.1 |
| 2016 | NV · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 1,793 | R+1.0 | D+2.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2016 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 2,596 | R+3.0 | R+3.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | FL · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 2,352 | R+3.0 | R+1.2 | R+1.8 |
| 2016 | CO · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 1,863 | D+1.0 | D+4.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2016 | MO · Senate | Sen-G | 2016-11-01 | 1,722 | R+4.0 | R+2.8 | R+1.2 |
| 2016 | MO · President | Pres-G | 2016-11-01 | 1,722 | R+13.0 | R+18.6 | D+5.6 |
| 2016 | MO · Governor | Gov-G | 2016-11-01 | 1,722 | R+1.0 | R+5.6 | D+4.6 |
| 2016 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 1,172 | D+4.0 | R+0.8 | D+4.8 |
| 2016 | VA · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 1,106 | D+4.0 | D+5.4 | R+1.4 |
| 2016 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 1,249 | D+2.0 | R+0.7 | D+2.7 |
| 2016 | OH · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 1,187 | R+5.0 | R+8.1 | D+3.1 |
| 2016 | NV · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 787 | R+4.0 | D+2.5 | R+6.5 |
| 2016 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 1,176 | R+2.0 | R+3.7 | D+1.7 |
| 2016 | FL · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 989 | R+4.0 | R+1.2 | R+2.8 |
| 2016 | CO · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 952 | D+1.0 | D+4.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2016 | MO · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-24 | 2,559 | R+11.0 | R+18.6 | D+7.6 |
| 2016 | MO · Governor | Gov-G | 2016-10-24 | 2,559 | D+2.0 | R+5.6 | D+7.6 |
| 2016 | CA-31 · House | House-G | 2016-10-22 | 1,198 | D+3.0 | D+12.1 | R+9.1 |
| 2016 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 1,795 | D+5.0 | R+0.8 | D+5.8 |
| 2016 | VA · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 1,787 | D+5.0 | D+5.4 | R+0.4 |
| 2016 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 1,997 | D+3.0 | R+0.7 | D+3.7 |
| 2016 | OH · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 1,971 | R+4.0 | R+8.1 | D+4.1 |
| 2016 | NV · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 1,332 | R+3.0 | D+2.5 | R+5.5 |
| 2016 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 1,764 | R+3.0 | R+3.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2016 | FL · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 1,646 | 0 | R+1.2 | D+1.2 |
| 2016 | CO · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 1,581 | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2016 | SD · Senate | Sen-G | 2016-10-20 | 1,115 | R+21.0 | R+43.7 | D+22.7 |
1 further row is held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.