Rasmussen Reports

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 639
Mean absolute error: 4.56percentage points
Historical bias: R+1.45
Represented cycles: 182000–2024
Current archive: 29canonical records
History span: Oct 18, 2000through Nov 1, 2024

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: Rasmussen Reports (R)
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2007 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024

639 eligible historical polls across 18 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

5 shown · 29 total

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +10

Approve 44% · Disapprove 54%

Field dates: Jul 25–Jul 29, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +9

Approve 45% · Disapprove 54%

Field dates: Jul 16–Jul 20, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Generic ballot

Dem +6

Dem 47% · Rep 41%

Field dates: May 13–May 20, 2026
Sample: 2,161 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Generic ballot

Dem +6

Dem 47% · Rep 41%

Field dates: Jan 7–Jan 8, 2026
Sample: 2,273 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Governor

GOV-NJ

Sherrill +6

Mikie Sherrill 46% · Jack Ciattarelli 40%

Field dates: Oct 8–Oct 9, 2025
Sample: 955 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: Republican-sponsored

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 639 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2014	2014_Gov-G_NH	Gov-G	2014-10-30	940	D+9.0	D+5.0	D+4.0
2014	2014_Gov-G_CT	Gov-G	2014-10-30	977	D+1.0	D+2.6	R+1.6
2014	2014_Sen-G_NC	Sen-G	2014-10-29	982	D+1.0	R+1.6	D+2.6
2014	2014_Sen-G_IA	Sen-G	2014-10-29	990	R+1.0	R+8.3	D+7.3
2014	2014_Sen-G_AK	Sen-G	2014-10-29	887	R+5.0	R+2.1	R+2.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_IA	Gov-G	2014-10-29	990	R+18.0	R+21.7	D+3.7
2014	2014_Sen-G_AR	Sen-G	2014-10-28	967	R+7.0	R+17.1	D+10.1
2014	2014_Gov-G_AR	Gov-G	2014-10-28	967	R+7.0	R+13.9	D+6.9
2014	2014_Sen-G_GA	Sen-G	2014-10-26	788.5	0	R+7.7	D+7.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_GA	Gov-G	2014-10-26	977	R+6.0	R+7.9	D+1.9
2014	2014_Sen-G_SD	Sen-G	2014-10-24	908	R+14.0	R+20.9	D+6.9
2014	2014_Sen-O_LA	Sen-G	2014-10-23	988	D+7.0	D+1.1	D+5.9
2014	2014_House-G_US	House-G	2014-10-23	3,500	R+2.0	R+5.9	D+3.9
2014	2014_Sen-G_MI	Sen-G	2014-10-22	1,000	D+9.0	D+13.3	R+4.3
2014	2014_Sen-G_CO	Sen-G	2014-10-22	966	R+6.0	R+1.9	R+4.1
2014	2014_Gov-G_MI	Gov-G	2014-10-22	1,000	R+3.0	R+4.1	D+1.1
2014	2014_Gov-G_CO	Gov-G	2014-10-22	966	R+2.0	D+3.3	R+5.3
2014	2014_Gov-G_WI	Gov-G	2014-10-21	973	D+1.0	R+5.7	D+6.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_KS	Gov-G	2014-10-21	960	D+7.0	R+3.7	D+10.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_IL	Gov-G	2014-10-21	1,000	R+1.0	R+3.9	D+2.9
2014	2014_Sen-G_KY	Sen-G	2014-10-16	1,000	R+8.0	R+15.5	D+7.5
2014	2014_House-G_US	House-G	2014-10-16	3,500	0	R+5.9	D+5.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_FL	Gov-G	2014-10-16	1,000	0	R+1.1	D+1.1
2014	2014_Gov-G_CT	Gov-G	2014-10-15	980	R+7.0	D+2.6	R+9.6
2014	2014_Gov-G_AZ	Gov-G	2014-10-15	1,056	R+5.0	R+11.8	D+6.8
2014	2014_Sen-O_LA	Sen-G	2014-10-14	965	D+3.0	D+1.1	D+1.9
2014	2014_Sen-G_AR	Sen-G	2014-10-14	940	R+3.0	R+17.1	D+14.1
2014	2014_Gov-G_MA	Gov-G	2014-10-14	980	R+2.0	R+1.9	R+0.1
2014	2014_Gov-G_AR	Gov-G	2014-10-14	940	R+2.0	R+13.9	D+11.9
2013	2013_Gov-G_VA	Gov-G	2013-10-29	1,002	D+7.0	D+2.5	D+4.5
2013	2013_Gov-G_NJ	Gov-G	2013-10-28	1,000	R+18.0	R+22.1	D+4.1
2013	2013_Gov-G_VA	Gov-G	2013-10-20	1,000	D+17.0	D+2.5	D+14.5
2013	2013_Sen-GS_NJ	Sen-G	2013-10-07	1,000	D+12.0	D+10.9	D+1.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_VA	Sen-G	2012-11-04	750	D+2.0	D+5.9	R+3.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_VA	Pres-G	2012-11-04	750	R+2.0	D+3.9	R+5.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-11-04	3,000	R+1.0	D+3.9	R+4.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-11-04	750	0	D+3.0	R+3.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_NH	Pres-G	2012-11-04	750	D+2.0	D+5.6	R+3.6
2012	2012_Gov-G_NH	Gov-G	2012-11-04	750	D+5.0	D+12.1	R+7.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2012-11-01	750	0	D+6.0	R+6.0
2012	2012_Sen-G_IN	Sen-G	2012-11-01	600	D+3.0	D+5.8	R+2.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-11-01	3,000	0	D+3.9	R+3.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-11-01	750	0	D+3.0	R+3.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2012-11-01	750	D+5.0	D+9.5	R+4.5
2012	2012_Pres-G_IN	Pres-G	2012-11-01	600	R+9.0	R+10.2	D+1.2
2012	2012_House-G_US	House-G	2012-11-01	7,000	0	D+1.1	R+1.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_VA	Sen-G	2012-10-30	1,000	0	D+5.9	R+5.9
2012	2012_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2012-10-30	1,000	D+1.0	D+9.1	R+8.1
2012	2012_Pres-G_VA	Pres-G	2012-10-30	1,000	D+1.0	D+3.9	R+2.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2012-10-30	1,000	D+3.0	D+5.4	R+2.4

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.