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Pollster file

Rasmussen Reports

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 639
Mean absolute error: 4.56percentage points
Historical bias: R+1.45
Represented cycles: 182000–2024
Current archive: 29canonical records
History span: Oct 18, 2000through Nov 1, 2024

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: Rasmussen Reports (R)
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2007 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024

639 eligible historical polls across 18 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 29 total

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +15

Approve 42% · Disapprove 57%

Field dates: Sep 3–Sep 7, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +14

Approve 43% · Disapprove 57%

Field dates: Sep 2–Sep 6, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +11

Approve 44% · Disapprove 55%

Field dates: Aug 30–Sep 3, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +12

Approve 44% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates: Aug 29–Sep 2, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +13

Approve 43% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates: Aug 28–Sep 1, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +14

Approve 42% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates: Aug 26–Aug 30, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +13

Approve 43% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates: Aug 23–Aug 27, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +15

Approve 42% · Disapprove 57%

Field dates: Aug 21–Aug 25, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +13

Approve 43% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates: Aug 20–Aug 24, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +14

Approve 42% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates: Aug 19–Aug 23, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +9

Approve 45% · Disapprove 54%

Field dates: Jul 5–Jul 9, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +12

Approve 43% · Disapprove 55%

Field dates: Jul 4–Jul 8, 2026
Sample: 1,500 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 639 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2012	2012_Pres-G_IA	Pres-G	2012-10-30	750	R+1.0	D+5.8	R+6.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2012-10-29	1,000	R+1.0	D+5.5	R+6.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2012-10-29	750	0	D+5.5	R+5.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2012-10-29	1,000	D+7.0	D+6.0	D+1.0
2012	2012_Sen-G_MT	Sen-G	2012-10-29	500	D+1.0	D+3.7	R+2.7
2012	2012_Sen-G_FL	Sen-G	2012-10-29	1,000	D+4.0	D+13.0	R+9.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2012-10-29	1,000	D+1.0	D+6.8	R+5.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2012-10-29	750	0	D+6.8	R+6.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-10-29	1,500	R+2.0	D+3.9	R+5.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-10-29	1,000	D+2.0	D+3.0	R+1.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_MT	Pres-G	2012-10-29	500	R+10.0	R+13.7	D+3.7
2012	2012_Pres-G_FL	Pres-G	2012-10-29	1,000	R+2.0	D+0.9	R+2.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_CO	Pres-G	2012-10-29	750	R+3.0	D+5.4	R+8.4
2012	2012_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2012-10-28	750	D+2.0	D+6.0	R+4.0
2012	2012_Sen-G_CT	Sen-G	2012-10-28	500	D+6.0	D+11.8	R+5.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-10-28	750	R+2.0	D+3.0	R+5.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-10-26	1,500	R+3.0	D+3.9	R+6.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2012-10-25	500	R+1.0	D+5.5	R+6.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_MA	Sen-G	2012-10-25	500	D+5.0	D+7.5	R+2.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_FL	Sen-G	2012-10-25	750	D+3.0	D+13.0	R+10.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2012-10-25	500	0	D+6.8	R+6.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_NC	Pres-G	2012-10-25	500	R+6.0	R+2.0	R+4.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_MA	Pres-G	2012-10-25	500	D+19.0	D+23.2	R+4.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_FL	Pres-G	2012-10-25	750	R+2.0	D+0.9	R+2.9
2012	2012_House-G_US	House-G	2012-10-25	3,500	R+3.0	D+1.1	R+4.1
2012	2012_Gov-G_NC	Gov-G	2012-10-25	500	R+19.0	R+11.4	R+7.6
2012	2012_Sen-G_VA	Sen-G	2012-10-24	750	D+1.0	D+5.9	R+4.9
2012	2012_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2012-10-24	500	D+1.0	D+9.1	R+8.1
2012	2012_Pres-G_VA	Pres-G	2012-10-24	750	R+2.0	D+3.9	R+5.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2012-10-24	500	D+5.0	D+5.4	R+0.4
2012	2012_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2012-10-23	750	D+4.0	D+6.0	R+2.0
2012	2012_Sen-G_NV	Sen-G	2012-10-23	500	R+5.0	R+1.2	R+3.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2012-10-23	1,000	D+1.0	D+6.8	R+5.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_VA	Pres-G	2012-10-23	1,000	0	D+3.9	R+3.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-10-23	1,500	R+3.0	D+3.9	R+6.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2012-10-23	1,000	D+6.0	D+5.4	D+0.6
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-10-23	1,000	0	D+3.0	R+3.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-10-23	750	0	D+3.0	R+3.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_NV	Pres-G	2012-10-23	500	D+2.0	D+6.7	R+4.7
2012	2012_Pres-G_NH	Pres-G	2012-10-23	500	R+2.0	D+5.6	R+7.6
2012	2012_Gov-G_NH	Gov-G	2012-10-23	500	R+2.0	D+12.1	R+14.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_MN	Sen-G	2012-10-21	500	D+23.0	D+34.7	R+11.7
2012	2012_Sen-G_CT	Sen-G	2012-10-21	500	D+1.0	D+11.8	R+10.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_AZ	Sen-G	2012-10-21	500	R+6.0	R+3.0	R+3.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_MN	Pres-G	2012-10-21	500	D+5.0	D+7.7	R+2.7
2012	2012_Pres-G_IA	Pres-G	2012-10-21	500	0	D+5.8	R+5.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_CT	Pres-G	2012-10-21	500	D+7.0	D+17.3	R+10.3
2012	2012_Pres-G_CO	Pres-G	2012-10-21	500	R+4.0	D+5.4	R+9.4
2012	2012_Pres-G_AZ	Pres-G	2012-10-21	500	R+8.0	R+9.1	D+1.1
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-10-20	1,500	R+2.0	D+3.9	R+5.8

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.