Call
the Map
FORECAST10 DAYS OUT
← Pollster performanceFilter the Full Poll Archive →
Pollster file

Rasmussen Reports

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
639
Mean absolute error
4.56percentage points
Historical bias
R+1.45
Represented cycles
182000–2024
Current archive
39canonical records
History span
Oct 18, 2000through Nov 1, 2024
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Rasmussen Reports (R)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2007 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024

639 eligible historical polls across 18 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 39 total

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 639 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-11-01—D+1.0R+1.4D+2.4
2024NV · PresidentPres-G2024-10-30—R+2.0R+3.1D+1.1
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-30—R+3.0R+3.2D+0.2
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-29—R+3.0R+0.9R+2.1
2024AZ · PresidentPres-G2024-10-29—R+2.0R+5.5D+3.5
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-28—R+2.0R+1.7R+0.3
2024GA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-28—R+5.0R+2.2R+2.8
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-22—R+3.0R+1.5R+1.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-16—0R+1.5D+1.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-15—R+1.0R+1.5D+0.5
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-11-012,500R+5.0R+2.7R+2.3
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-252,500R+7.0R+2.7R+4.3
2022GA · SenateSen-G2022-10-241,053R+5.0D+1.0R+6.0
2022GA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-241,053R+10.0R+7.5R+2.5
2022PA · SenateSen-G2022-10-20972D+2.0D+4.9R+2.9
2022PA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-20972D+3.0D+14.8R+11.8
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-182,500R+4.0R+2.7R+1.3
2020PA · PresidentPres-G2020-11-01800D+3.0D+1.2D+1.8
2020OH · PresidentPres-G2020-11-01800R+4.0R+8.0D+4.0
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-301,500D+1.0D+4.5R+3.5
2020FL · PresidentPres-G2020-10-30800D+1.0R+3.4D+4.4
2020NC · SenateSen-G2020-10-29800D+3.0R+1.8D+4.8
2020NC · PresidentPres-G2020-10-29800R+1.0R+1.4D+0.3
2020AZ · SenateSen-G2020-10-28800D+5.0D+2.4D+2.6
2020AZ · PresidentPres-G2020-10-28800R+4.0D+0.3R+4.3
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-261,500R+1.0D+4.5R+5.5
2020NC · SenateSen-G2020-10-218000R+1.8D+1.8
2020NC · PresidentPres-G2020-10-21800R+1.0R+1.4D+0.3
2020FL · PresidentPres-G2020-10-21800R+4.0R+3.4R+0.6
2020AZ · SenateSen-G2020-10-19800D+2.0D+2.4R+0.3
2020PA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-19800D+3.0D+1.2D+1.8
2020OH · PresidentPres-G2020-10-19800D+1.0R+8.0D+9.0
2020AZ · PresidentPres-G2020-10-19800D+2.0D+0.3D+1.7
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-172,500D+3.0D+4.5R+1.5
2018national · HouseHouse-G2018-10-302,500R+1.0D+8.8R+9.8
2018national · HouseHouse-G2018-10-232,500D+3.0D+8.8R+5.8
2018national · HouseHouse-G2018-10-162,500D+3.0D+8.8R+5.8
2017VA · GovernorGov-G2017-11-028750D+8.9R+8.9
2017NJ · GovernorGov-G2017-11-01800D+15.0D+14.1D+0.9
2016PA · SenateSen-G2016-11-04525R+4.0R+1.4R+2.6
2016OH · SenateSen-G2016-11-04525R+14.0R+20.9D+6.9
2016NV · SenateSen-G2016-11-045250D+2.5R+2.5
2016NH · SenateSen-G2016-11-04525D+8.0D+0.1D+7.9
2016NC · SenateSen-G2016-11-04525D+1.0R+5.7D+6.7
2016FL · SenateSen-G2016-11-04525R+14.0R+7.7R+6.3
2016national · PresidentPres-G2016-11-041,500D+2.0D+2.1R+0.1
2016PA · PresidentPres-G2016-11-04525R+2.0R+0.7R+1.3
2016OH · PresidentPres-G2016-11-04525D+1.0R+8.1D+9.1
2016NV · PresidentPres-G2016-11-045250D+2.5R+2.5
2016NH · PresidentPres-G2016-11-04525D+6.0D+0.4D+5.6

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.