Approval
Disapprove +11.4Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 43.2% · Disapprove 54.6%
- Field dates
- Nov 11–Nov 12, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Quantus Insights
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 8
- Mean absolute error
- 6.38percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.32
- Represented cycles
- 22024–2025
- Current archive
- 97canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2024through Nov 3, 2025
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Quantus Insights (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2024 · 2025
8 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 97 total
Governor
Spanberger +8.7GOV-VA
Abigail Spanberger 52.6% · Winsome Earle-Sears 43.9%
- Field dates
- Nov 3, 2025
- Sample
- 1,201 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor
Sherrill +3.3GOV-NJ
Mikie Sherrill 49.2% · Jack Ciattarelli 45.9%
- Field dates
- Oct 26–Oct 27, 2025
- Sample
- 1,380 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor
Spanberger +5GOV-VA
Abigail Spanberger 51% · Winsome Earle-Sears 46%
- Field dates
- Oct 19–Oct 20, 2025
- Sample
- 1,302 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Rep +1Generic ballot
Dem 42% · Rep 43%
- Field dates
- Oct 6–Oct 7, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +4Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 47% · Disapprove 51%
- Field dates
- Oct 6–Oct 7, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor
Sherrill +2.3GOV-NJ
Mikie Sherrill 48.1% · Jack Ciattarelli 45.8%
- Field dates
- Sep 29–Sep 30, 2025
- Sample
- 900 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +1.5Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 48.2% · Disapprove 49.7%
- Field dates
- Sep 19–Sep 21, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Ossoff +0.1Georgia · Senate
Jon Ossoff 37.8% · Mike Collins 37.7%
- Field dates
- Sep 9–Sep 12, 2025
- Sample
- 624 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Ossoff +6.7Georgia · Senate
Jon Ossoff 42.1% · Derek Dooley 35.4%
- Field dates
- Sep 9–Sep 12, 2025
- Sample
- 624 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Governor
Sherrill +10GOV-NJ
Mikie Sherrill 49% · Jack Ciattarelli 39%
- Field dates
- Sep 2–Sep 4, 2025
- Sample
- 600 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +3Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 47.6% · Disapprove 50.6%
- Field dates
- Aug 25–Aug 26, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
8 shown · 8 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-11-03 | — | D+9.0 | D+15.4 | R+6.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-11-03 | — | 0 | D+6.7 | R+6.7 |
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-27 | — | D+3.0 | D+14.4 | R+11.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-20 | — | D+5.0 | D+15.4 | R+10.4 |
| 2025 | VA · Attorney general | AG-G | 2025-10-20 | — | R+7.0 | D+6.7 | R+13.7 |
| 2024 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-29 | — | 0 | R+0.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-28 | — | 0 | R+1.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-17 | — | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | R+0.3 |
3 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.