Call
the Map
FORECAST54 DAYS OUT
← Pollster performanceFilter the Full Poll Archive →
Pollster file

Public Policy Polling

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
333
Mean absolute error
4.15percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.99
Represented cycles
112008–2022
Current archive
153canonical records
History span
Oct 17, 2008through Oct 20, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Public Policy Polling (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 153 total

Race

HOU-AZ-06

Mendoza +1

Don't know 17% · JoAnna Mendoza 42% · Juan Ciscomani 41%

Field dates
Oct 14–Oct 15, 2025
Sample
581 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-PA-01

Tied

Don't know 19% · Brian Fitzpatrick 41% · Bob Harvie 41%

Field dates
Oct 10–Oct 11, 2025
Sample
585 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-IA-03

Tied

Don't know 12% · Jennifer Konfrst 44% · Zach Nunn 44%

Field dates
Sep 17–Sep 18, 2025
Sample
717 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Craig +4

Generic Republican 43% · Angie Craig 47%

Field dates
Sep 15–Sep 16, 2025
Sample
1,015 LV
Sponsor / client
GQR
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Flanagan +2

Generic Republican 44% · Peggy Flanagan 46%

Field dates
Sep 15–Sep 16, 2025
Sample
1,015 LV
Sponsor / client
GQR
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-TX-15

Cruz +3

Don't know 21% · Bobby Pulido 38% · Monica De La Cruz 41%

Field dates
Sep 10–Sep 11, 2025
Sample
533 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Kleban +9

Don't know 21% · Dan Kleban 44% · Susan Collins 35%

Field dates
Sep 8–Sep 9, 2025
Sample
642 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-PA-08

Cognetti +2

Don't know 13% · Paige Cognetti 45% · Rob Bresnahan Jr. 43%

Field dates
Aug 27–Aug 28, 2025
Sample
615 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Ernst +1

Joni Ernst 44% · Jackie Norris 43%

Field dates
Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025
Sample
572 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Ernst +2

Joni Ernst 44% · Nathan Sage 42%

Field dates
Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025
Sample
572 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Ernst +1

Joni Ernst 44% · Josh Turek 43%

Field dates
Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025
Sample
572 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Wahls +2

Joni Ernst 43% · Zach Wahls 45%

Field dates
Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025
Sample
572 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 333 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20122012_Gov-G_MOGov-G2012-10-20582D+11.0D+12.2R+1.2
20122012_Sen-G_OHSen-G2012-10-19532D+5.0D+6.0R+1.0
20122012_Pres-G_VAPres-G2012-10-19500D+2.0D+3.9R+1.9
20122012_Pres-G_USPres-G2012-10-191,2000D+3.9R+3.9
20122012_Pres-G_OHPres-G2012-10-19532D+1.0D+3.0R+2.0
20122012_Pres-G_IAPres-G2012-10-19660D+1.0D+5.8R+4.8
20122012_Sen-G_FLSen-G2012-10-18800D+4.0D+13.0R+9.0
20122012_Pres-G_NHPres-G2012-10-181,036R+1.0D+5.6R+6.6
20122012_Pres-G_IAPres-G2012-10-18869R+1.0D+5.8R+6.8
20122012_Pres-G_FLPres-G2012-10-18800R+1.0D+0.9R+1.9
20122012_Gov-G_NHGov-G2012-10-181,036D+2.0D+12.1R+10.1
20122012_Pres-G_USPres-G2012-10-171,200D+1.0D+3.9R+2.9
20122012_Pres-G_COPres-G2012-10-171,000D+4.0D+5.4R+1.4
20122012_Sen-G_VASen-G2012-10-16733D+5.0D+5.9R+0.9
20122012_Sen-G_MTSen-G2012-10-16806D+2.0D+3.7R+1.7
20122012_Sen-G_MASen-G2012-10-16709D+9.0D+7.5D+1.4
20122012_Sen-G_CTSen-G2012-10-161,015D+4.0D+11.8R+7.8
20122012_Pres-G_WAPres-G2012-10-16574D+5.0D+14.9R+9.9
20122012_Pres-G_VAPres-G2012-10-16733D+1.0D+3.9R+2.9
20122012_Pres-G_MTPres-G2012-10-16806R+10.0R+13.7D+3.7
20122012_Pres-G_MAPres-G2012-10-16709D+18.0D+23.2R+5.2
20122012_Pres-G_CTPres-G2012-10-161,015D+9.0D+17.3R+8.3
20122012_House-G_FL-22House-G2012-10-16500D+3.0D+9.3R+6.3
20122012_House-G_FL-18House-G2012-10-16500R+9.0D+0.6R+9.6
20122012_Gov-G_WAGov-G2012-10-16574D+6.0D+3.1D+2.9
20122012_House-GS_AZ-8House-G2012-06-102,012D+12.0D+6.9D+5.1
20122012_Gov-GS_WIGov-G2012-06-031,226R+3.0R+6.8D+3.8
20112011_Gov-G_MSGov-G2011-11-05796R+14.0R+22.0D+8.0
20112011_Gov-GS_WVGov-G2011-10-01932D+1.0D+2.5R+1.5
20112011_House-GS_NY-9House-G2011-09-10664R+6.0R+5.2R+0.8
20112011_House-GS_NV-2House-G2011-09-10629R+13.0R+21.9D+8.8
20112011_House-GS_CA-36House-G2011-07-09619D+8.0D+9.8R+1.8
20112011_House-GS_NY-26House-G2011-05-221,106D+6.0D+5.0D+1.0
20112011_House-GS_NY-26House-G2011-05-071,048D+4.0D+5.0R+1.0
20102010_Sen-G_PASen-G2010-10-31772R+5.0R+2.0R+3.0
20102010_Sen-G_NVSen-G2010-10-31682R+1.0D+5.9R+6.9
20102010_Sen-G_NCSen-G2010-10-31847R+12.0R+11.8R+0.2
20102010_Sen-G_ILSen-G2010-10-31814R+2.5R+1.6R+0.9
20102010_Sen-G_COSen-G2010-10-311,059R+1.0D+1.6R+2.6
20102010_Sen-GS_WVSen-G2010-10-311,676D+5.0D+10.1R+5.1
20102010_Gov-G_PAGov-G2010-10-31772R+7.0R+9.0D+2.0
20102010_Gov-G_NVGov-G2010-10-31682R+11.0R+11.9D+0.9
20102010_Gov-G_ILGov-G2010-10-31814R+5.0D+0.8R+5.8
20102010_Gov-G_FLGov-G2010-10-31773D+1.0R+1.1D+2.1
20102010_Gov-G_AKGov-G2010-10-311,539R+11.0R+21.5D+10.5
20102010_Sen-G_WASen-G2010-10-302,055R+2.0D+4.7R+6.7
20102010_Sen-G_CASen-G2010-10-30882D+4.0D+10.0R+6.0
20102010_Gov-G_CAGov-G2010-10-30882D+5.0D+12.9R+7.9
20102010_Sen-G_OHSen-G2010-10-291,356R+18.0R+17.4R+0.6
20102010_Sen-G_KYSen-G2010-10-291,021R+15.0R+11.5R+3.5

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.