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Pollster file

Public Policy Polling

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
333
Mean absolute error
4.15percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.99
Represented cycles
112008–2022
Current archive
154canonical records
History span
Oct 17, 2008through Oct 20, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Public Policy Polling (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 154 total

State Supreme Court

NC-SUPREME-COURT-SEAT-1

Earls +3

Anita Earls 43% · Sarah Stevens 40%

Field dates
Mar 13–Mar 14, 2026
Sample
556 V
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-TX-23

Herrera +2

Don't know 18% · Brandon Herrera 42% · Katy Padilla Stout 40%

Field dates
Mar 10–Mar 11, 2026
Sample
521 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-TX-23

Republican +2

Don't know 8% · Generic Republican 47% · Generic Democrat 45%

Field dates
Mar 10–Mar 11, 2026
Sample
521 RV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Talarico +2

Ken Paxton 45% · James Talarico 47%

Field dates
Mar 4–Mar 5, 2026
Sample
576 RV
Sponsor / client
Senate Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Talarico +1

John Cornyn 43% · James Talarico 44%

Field dates
Mar 4–Mar 5, 2026
Sample
576 RV
Sponsor / client
Senate Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Rounds +17

Don't know 19% · Julian Beaudion 32% · Mike Rounds 49%

Field dates
Feb 17–Feb 18, 2026
Sample
685 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Rounds +12

Don't know 19% · Brian Bengs 35% · Mike Rounds 47%

Field dates
Feb 17–Feb 18, 2026
Sample
685 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-AK-01

Begich +4

Don't know 22% · Bill Hill 37% · Nick Begich 41%

Field dates
Feb 11–Feb 12, 2026
Sample
600 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-AK-01

Begich +7

Don't know 15% · Nick Begich 46% · Matt Schultz 39%

Field dates
Feb 11–Feb 12, 2026
Sample
600 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-MN-01

Finstad +3

Don't know 15% · Jake Johnson 41% · Brad Finstad 44%

Field dates
Feb 2–Feb 3, 2026
Sample
708 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-MI-10

Bouchard +2

Mike Bouchard 44% · Tim Greimel 42%

Field dates
Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026
Sample
592 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-MI-10

Hines +2

Mike Bouchard 42% · Christina Hines 44%

Field dates
Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026
Sample
592 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 333 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20162016_Pres-G_NVPres-G2016-11-01688D+3.0D+2.5D+0.5
20162016_Pres-G_NHPres-G2016-11-01781D+5.0D+0.4D+4.6
20162016_Pres-G_NCPres-G2016-11-011,169D+2.0R+3.7D+5.7
20162016_Pres-G_MOPres-G2016-11-011,083R+12.0R+18.6D+6.6
20162016_Gov-G_NHGov-G2016-11-01781D+3.0R+2.3D+5.3
20162016_Sen-G_FLSen-G2016-10-267420R+7.7D+7.7
20162016_Pres-G_FLPres-G2016-10-26742D+4.0R+1.2D+5.2
20162016_House-G_NY-19House-G2016-10-241,218D+3.0R+8.1D+11.1
20162016_Sen-G_NCSen-G2016-10-22875R+1.0R+5.7D+4.7
20162016_Pres-G_NCPres-G2016-10-22875D+3.0R+3.7D+6.7
20162016_House-G_NJ-7House-G2016-10-229820R+11.0D+11.0
20162016_Gov-G_NCGov-G2016-10-22875D+2.0D+0.2D+1.8
20162016_Pres-G_USPres-G2016-10-21990D+6.0D+2.1D+3.9
20162016_Sen-G_WISen-G2016-10-19804D+6.0R+3.4D+9.4
20162016_Pres-G_WIPres-G2016-10-19804D+12.0R+0.8D+12.8
20142014_Sen-G_NHSen-G2014-11-021,690D+2.0D+3.3R+1.3
20142014_Sen-G_NCSen-G2014-11-021,333D+2.0R+1.6D+3.6
20142014_Sen-G_MISen-G2014-11-02914D+13.0D+13.3R+0.3
20142014_Sen-G_ILSen-G2014-11-021,064D+9.0D+10.8R+1.9
20142014_Sen-G_IASen-G2014-11-021,265R+3.0R+8.3D+5.3
20142014_Sen-G_GASen-G2014-11-02975R+0.5R+7.7D+7.2
20142014_Sen-G_COSen-G2014-11-02739R+3.0R+1.9R+1.1
20142014_Sen-G_AKSen-G2014-11-021,052R+1.0R+2.1D+1.1
20142014_House-G_AK-1House-G2014-11-021,052R+6.0R+10.0D+4.0
20142014_Gov-G_NHGov-G2014-11-021,690D+5.0D+5.0D+0.0
20142014_Gov-G_MIGov-G2014-11-02914R+0.5R+4.1D+3.6
20142014_Gov-G_KSGov-G2014-11-02963D+1.5R+3.7D+5.2
20142014_Gov-G_ILGov-G2014-11-021,064D+1.0R+3.9D+4.9
20142014_Gov-G_IAGov-G2014-11-021,265R+11.0R+21.7D+10.7
20142014_Gov-G_GAGov-G2014-11-02975R+4.0R+7.9D+3.9
20142014_Gov-G_FLGov-G2014-11-021,198D+0.5R+1.1D+1.6
20142014_Gov-G_COGov-G2014-11-02739R+0.5D+3.3R+3.8
20142014_Sen-O_LASen-G2014-10-311,003D+3.5D+1.1D+2.4
20142014_Sen-G_NHSen-G2014-10-31679D+2.0D+3.3R+1.3
20142014_Sen-G_NCSen-G2014-10-31738D+1.0R+1.6D+2.6
20142014_Sen-G_MASen-G2014-10-31887D+14.0D+23.9R+9.9
20142014_Sen-G_KYSen-G2014-10-311,503R+8.5R+15.5D+7.0
20142014_Sen-G_IASen-G2014-10-31617R+1.0R+8.3D+7.3
20142014_Sen-G_GASen-G2014-10-315330R+7.7D+7.7
20142014_Sen-G_ARSen-G2014-10-311,092R+7.0R+17.1D+10.1
20142014_Gov-G_MAGov-G2014-10-31887R+2.5R+1.9R+0.6
20142014_Gov-G_KSGov-G2014-10-31752D+4.0R+3.7D+7.7
20142014_Gov-G_IDGov-G2014-10-311,001R+12.0R+15.0D+3.0
20142014_Gov-G_CTGov-G2014-10-31931D+3.0D+2.6D+0.4
20142014_Gov-G_ARGov-G2014-10-311,092R+9.5R+13.9D+4.4
20142014_Sen-G_VASen-G2014-10-30937D+9.0D+0.8D+8.2
20142014_Sen-G_NCSen-G2014-10-29657D+1.0R+1.6D+2.6
20142014_Sen-G_COSen-G2014-10-295730R+1.9D+1.9
20142014_Gov-G_WIGov-G2014-10-291,814R+1.0R+5.7D+4.7
20142014_Gov-G_COGov-G2014-10-295730D+3.3R+3.3

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.