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Pollster file

Public Policy Polling

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 333
Mean absolute error: 4.15percentage points
Historical bias: D+0.99
Represented cycles: 112008–2022
Current archive: 153canonical records
History span: Oct 17, 2008through Oct 20, 2022

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: Public Policy Polling (D)
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 153 total

House

HOU-TX-23

Herrera +2

Brandon Herrera 42% · Katy Padilla Stout 40%

Field dates: Mar 10–Mar 11, 2026
Sample: 521 A
Sponsor / client: House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Senate · D primary

Illinois · Senate

Stratton +2

Juliana Stratton 32% · Raja Krishnamoorthi 30% · Robin Kelly 13%

Field dates: Mar 9–Mar 10, 2026
Sample: 700 LV
Sponsor / client: Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Senate

Texas · Senate

Talarico +1

John Cornyn 43% · James Talarico 44%

Field dates: Mar 4–Mar 5, 2026
Sample: 576 A
Sponsor / client: Senate Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Senate

Texas · Senate

Talarico +2

Ken Paxton 45% · James Talarico 47%

Field dates: Mar 4–Mar 5, 2026
Sample: 576 A
Sponsor / client: Senate Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Senate · D primary

Illinois · Senate

Stratton +3

Juliana Stratton 33% · Raja Krishnamoorthi 30% · Robin Kelly 11%

Field dates: Mar 2–Mar 3, 2026
Sample: 557 LV
Sponsor / client: Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Senate · D primary

Texas · Senate

Talarico +6

Jasmine Crockett 42% · James Talarico 48%

Field dates: Feb 25, 2026
Sample: 599 LV
Sponsor / client: Lone Star Rising PAC
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Senate · D primary

Illinois · Senate

Stratton +5

Juliana Stratton 37% · Raja Krishnamoorthi 32%

Field dates: Feb 23–Feb 24, 2026
Sample: 546 LV
Sponsor / client: Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Senate · D primary

Illinois · Senate

Krishnamoorthi +2

Juliana Stratton 27% · Raja Krishnamoorthi 29% · Robin Kelly 13%

Field dates: Feb 23–Feb 24, 2026
Sample: 546 LV
Sponsor / client: Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

House

HOU-AK-AL

Begich III +4

Nick Begich III 41% · Bill Hill 37%

Field dates: Feb 11–Feb 12, 2026
Sample: 600 LV
Sponsor / client: Bill Hill
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

House

HOU-AK-AL

Begich III +7

Nick Begich III 46% · Matt Schultz 39%

Field dates: Feb 11–Feb 12, 2026
Sample: 600 LV
Sponsor / client: Bill Hill
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Senate · D primary

Illinois · Senate

Krishnamoorthi +11

Juliana Stratton 23% · Raja Krishnamoorthi 34% · Robin Kelly 8%

Field dates: Feb 2–Feb 3, 2026
Sample: 574 LV
Sponsor / client: Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship: Democratic-sponsored

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +17

Approve 39% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates: Jan 29–Jan 30, 2026
Sample: 652 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 333 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2022	2022_Sen-G_WA	Sen-G	2022-10-20	782	D+10.0	D+14.6	R+4.5
2020	2020_Sen-G_IA	Sen-G	2020-11-02	871	D+1.0	R+6.6	D+7.6
2020	2020_Pres-G_IA	Pres-G	2020-11-02	871	D+1.0	R+8.2	D+9.2
2020	2020_Sen-G_MN	Sen-G	2020-10-30	770	D+9.0	D+5.2	D+3.8
2020	2020_Sen-G_MI	Sen-G	2020-10-30	745	D+10.0	D+1.7	D+8.3
2020	2020_Pres-G_MN	Pres-G	2020-10-30	770	D+11.0	D+7.1	D+3.9
2020	2020_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2020-10-30	745	D+10.0	D+2.8	D+7.2
2020	2020_Pres-G_TX	Pres-G	2020-10-29	775	D+2.0	R+5.6	D+7.6
2020	2020_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2020-10-29	1,012	D+7.0	D+1.2	D+5.8
2020	2020_Pres-G_FL	Pres-G	2020-10-29	941	D+7.0	R+3.4	D+10.4
2020	2020_House-G_NC-9	House-G	2020-10-29	750	R+2.0	R+11.2	D+9.2
2020	2020_Sen-OS_GA	Sen-G	2020-10-28	661	D+19.0	D+7.0	D+12.0
2020	2020_Sen-G_GA	Sen-G	2020-10-28	661	D+3.0	R+1.8	D+4.8
2020	2020_Pres-G_GA	Pres-G	2020-10-28	661	D+2.0	D+0.2	D+1.8
2020	2020_Sen-G_NC	Sen-G	2020-10-27	937	D+3.0	R+1.8	D+4.8
2020	2020_Sen-G_MT	Sen-G	2020-10-27	886	D+1.0	R+10.0	D+11.0
2020	2020_Pres-G_NC	Pres-G	2020-10-27	937	D+4.0	R+1.4	D+5.3
2020	2020_Pres-G_MT	Pres-G	2020-10-27	886	R+2.0	R+16.4	D+14.4
2020	2020_House-G_AZ-6	House-G	2020-10-27	582	D+4.0	R+4.3	D+8.3
2020	2020_Sen-G_MI	Sen-G	2020-10-22	804	D+9.0	D+1.7	D+7.3
2020	2020_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2020-10-22	890	D+5.0	D+1.2	D+3.8
2020	2020_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2020-10-22	804	D+7.0	D+2.8	D+4.2
2020	2020_House-G_VA-5	House-G	2020-10-22	910	D+3.0	R+5.2	D+8.2
2020	2020_Sen-G_KS	Sen-G	2020-10-20	897	0	R+11.4	D+11.4
2020	2020_Sen-G_AK	Sen-G	2020-10-20	800	R+3.0	R+12.7	D+9.7
2020	2020_Pres-G_KS	Pres-G	2020-10-20	897	R+12.0	R+14.7	D+2.6
2020	2020_Pres-G_AK	Pres-G	2020-10-20	800	R+5.0	R+10.1	D+5.1
2020	2020_Sen-G_TX	Sen-G	2020-10-15	712	R+3.0	R+9.6	D+6.6
2020	2020_Pres-G_WA	Pres-G	2020-10-15	610	D+23.0	D+19.3	D+3.7
2020	2020_House-G_OH-12	House-G	2020-10-15	818	R+4.0	R+13.5	D+9.5
2020	2020_Gov-G_WA	Gov-G	2020-10-15	610	D+16.0	D+13.5	D+2.5
2020	2020_House-G_NY-24	House-G	2020-10-14	789	D+2.0	R+10.2	D+12.2
2018	2018_Gov-G_KS	Gov-G	2018-10-20	698	0	D+5.1	R+5.1
2018	2018_Sen-G_NV	Sen-G	2018-10-16	648	D+2.0	D+5.1	R+3.1
2018	2018_House-G_GA-3	House-G	2018-10-16	681	R+30.0	R+31.1	D+1.1
2018	2018_House-GS_OH-12	House-G	2018-07-28	617	R+4.0	R+0.8	R+3.2
2016	2016_Sen-G_CO	Sen-G	2016-11-04	704	D+10.0	D+5.7	D+4.3
2016	2016_Pres-G_VA	Pres-G	2016-11-04	1,238	D+5.5	D+5.4	D+0.1
2016	2016_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2016-11-04	957	D+5.5	R+0.2	D+5.7
2016	2016_Pres-G_CO	Pres-G	2016-11-04	704	D+5.0	D+4.9	D+0.1
2016	2016_Pres-G_MO	Pres-G	2016-11-02	871	R+13.0	R+18.6	D+5.6
2016	2016_Gov-G_MO	Gov-G	2016-11-02	871	D+3.0	R+5.6	D+8.6
2016	2016_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2016-11-01	891	D+5.0	R+3.4	D+8.4
2016	2016_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2016-11-01	1,050	D+2.0	R+1.4	D+3.4
2016	2016_Sen-G_NV	Sen-G	2016-11-01	688	D+3.0	D+2.5	D+0.5
2016	2016_Sen-G_NH	Sen-G	2016-11-01	781	D+3.0	D+0.1	D+2.9
2016	2016_Sen-G_NC	Sen-G	2016-11-01	1,169	R+3.0	R+5.7	D+2.7
2016	2016_Sen-G_MO	Sen-G	2016-11-01	1,083	R+2.0	R+2.8	D+0.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2016-11-01	891	D+7.0	R+0.8	D+7.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2016-11-01	1,050	D+4.0	R+0.7	D+4.7

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.