Pharos Research Group

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 33
Mean absolute error: 3.74percentage points
Historical bias: D+1.15
Represented cycles: 12012
Current archive: 0canonical records
History span: Oct 20, 2012through Oct 27, 2012

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: No additional reviewed aliases
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2012

All 33 eligible historical polls come from one cycle, so this record does not yet describe performance across elections.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

0 shown · 0 total

No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.

This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

33 shown · 33 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2012	2012_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2012-10-27	765	D+6.6	D+6.0	D+0.6
2012	2012_Sen-G_NE	Sen-G	2012-10-27	761	R+2.7	R+15.6	D+12.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_ND	Sen-G	2012-10-27	752	D+2.2	D+0.9	D+1.3
2012	2012_Sen-G_MT	Sen-G	2012-10-27	799	D+1.6	D+3.7	R+2.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_IN	Sen-G	2012-10-27	753	R+1.0	D+5.8	R+6.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-10-27	765	D+2.7	D+3.0	R+0.3
2012	2012_Pres-G_NE	Pres-G	2012-10-27	761	R+19.3	R+21.9	D+2.6
2012	2012_Pres-G_ND	Pres-G	2012-10-27	752	R+16.8	R+19.7	D+2.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_MT	Pres-G	2012-10-27	799	R+7.7	R+13.7	D+6.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_IN	Pres-G	2012-10-27	753	R+13.0	R+10.2	R+2.8
2012	2012_House-G_ND-1	House-G	2012-10-27	752	R+14.0	R+13.2	R+0.8
2012	2012_House-G_MT-1	House-G	2012-10-27	799	R+7.0	R+10.5	D+3.5
2012	2012_Gov-G_ND	Gov-G	2012-10-27	752	R+29.2	R+28.8	R+0.4
2012	2012_Gov-G_MT	Gov-G	2012-10-27	799	D+2.7	D+1.6	D+1.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2012-10-20	760	D+10.3	D+9.1	D+1.2
2012	2012_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2012-10-20	810	D+11.1	D+6.0	D+5.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_NE	Sen-G	2012-10-20	783	R+2.5	R+15.6	D+13.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_ND	Sen-G	2012-10-20	807	D+1.2	D+0.9	D+0.3
2012	2012_Sen-G_MT	Sen-G	2012-10-20	828	D+2.2	D+3.7	R+1.6
2012	2012_Sen-G_IN	Sen-G	2012-10-20	754	R+0.5	D+5.8	R+6.3
2012	2012_Sen-G_FL	Sen-G	2012-10-20	759	D+7.8	D+13.0	R+5.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-10-20	918	D+2.3	D+3.9	R+1.6
2012	2012_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2012-10-20	760	D+3.0	D+5.4	R+2.4
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-10-20	810	D+5.0	D+3.0	D+2.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_NE	Pres-G	2012-10-20	783	R+10.0	R+21.9	D+11.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_ND	Pres-G	2012-10-20	807	R+10.0	R+19.7	D+9.7
2012	2012_Pres-G_MT	Pres-G	2012-10-20	828	R+6.2	R+13.7	D+7.5
2012	2012_Pres-G_IN	Pres-G	2012-10-20	754	R+13.1	R+10.2	R+2.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_FL	Pres-G	2012-10-20	759	D+0.1	D+0.9	R+0.8
2012	2012_House-G_ND-1	House-G	2012-10-20	807	R+12.0	R+13.2	D+1.2
2012	2012_House-G_MT-1	House-G	2012-10-20	828	R+6.0	R+10.5	D+4.5
2012	2012_Gov-G_ND	Gov-G	2012-10-20	807	R+30.9	R+28.8	R+2.0
2012	2012_Gov-G_MT	Gov-G	2012-10-20	828	D+1.7	D+1.6	D+0.1

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.