House
LePage +1ME-02 · House
Joe Baldacci 43% · Paul LePage 44%
- Field dates
- Nov 29–Dec 7, 2025
- Sample
- 387 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Joe Baldacci
- Partisan sponsorship
- Democratic-sponsored
Pollster file
Pan Atlantic Research
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 15
- Mean absolute error
- 6.26percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.47
- Represented cycles
- 52000–2014
- Current archive
- 1canonical records
- History span
- Oct 22, 2000through Oct 18, 2014
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Pan Atlantic Research (D)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2000 · 2002 · 2008 · 2010 · 2014
15 eligible historical polls across 5 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
1 shown · 1 total
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
15 shown · 15 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_ME | Sen-G | 2014-10-18 | 400 | R+39.6 | R+37.0 | R+2.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_ME-2 | House-G | 2014-10-18 | 193 | D+1.2 | R+5.2 | D+6.4 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_ME-1 | House-G | 2014-10-18 | 207 | D+43.7 | D+29.8 | D+13.9 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_ME | Gov-G | 2014-10-18 | 400 | R+0.6 | R+4.8 | D+4.2 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_ME-2 | House-G | 2010-10-13 | 250 | D+20.0 | D+10.3 | D+9.7 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_ME-1 | House-G | 2010-10-13 | 250 | D+16.0 | D+13.7 | D+2.4 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_ME | Sen-G | 2008-10-15 | 400 | R+21.0 | R+22.8 | D+1.8 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_ME | Pres-G | 2008-10-15 | 400 | D+12.0 | D+17.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_ME-2 | House-G | 2008-10-15 | 193 | D+34.0 | D+34.9 | R+0.9 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_ME-1 | House-G | 2008-10-15 | 207 | D+11.0 | D+9.8 | D+1.2 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_ME | Sen-G | 2002-10-26 | 500 | R+19.0 | R+16.9 | R+2.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_ME-2 | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 240 | D+10.0 | D+4.0 | D+6.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_ME | Gov-G | 2002-10-26 | 500 | D+21.0 | D+5.7 | D+15.3 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_ME | Sen-G | 2000-10-22 | 400 | R+54.0 | R+37.9 | R+16.1 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_ME | Pres-G | 2000-10-22 | 400 | D+11.0 | D+5.1 | D+5.9 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.