OnPoint
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 6
- Mean absolute error
- 2.57percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.08
- Represented cycles
- 12006
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2006through Nov 6, 2006
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2006
6 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 6 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_TN | Sen-G | 2006-11-06 | 677 | R+1.0 | R+2.7 | D+1.7 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2006-11-06 | 520 | D+9.0 | D+16.0 | R+7.0 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_MT | Sen-G | 2006-11-06 | 602 | D+5.0 | D+0.9 | D+4.1 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_MO | Sen-G | 2006-11-06 | 594 | D+3.0 | D+2.3 | D+0.7 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_NC-11 | House-G | 2006-11-01 | 834 | D+9.0 | D+7.6 | D+1.4 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_NC-11 | House-G | 2006-10-17 | 684 | D+8.0 | D+7.6 | D+0.4 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.