Approval
Disapprove +5Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 46% · Disapprove 51%
- Field dates
- Mar 13–Mar 17, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Pollster file
North Star Opinion Research
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 10
- Mean absolute error
- 2.96percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.19
- Represented cycles
- 61998–2024
- Current archive
- 1canonical records
- History span
- Oct 28, 1998through Oct 26, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- North Star Opinion Research (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2002 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2024
10 eligible historical polls across 6 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
1 shown · 1 total
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
10 shown · 10 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-26 | — | 0 | R+1.7 | D+1.7 |
| 2016 | N2 · President | Pres-G | 2016-10-23 | 400 | R+4.0 | R+2.3 | R+1.7 |
| 2016 | NE-2 · House | House-G | 2016-10-23 | 400 | R+4.0 | R+1.2 | R+2.8 |
| 2012 | national · President | Pres-G | 2012-10-24 | 1,000 | R+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+4.8 |
| 2012 | national · House | House-G | 2012-10-24 | 1,000 | 0 | D+1.1 | R+1.1 |
| 2008 | TN · Senate | Sen-G | 2008-10-14 | 600 | R+37.0 | R+33.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2008 | TN · President | Pres-G | 2008-10-14 | 600 | R+15.0 | R+15.1 | D+0.1 |
| 2002 | TN · Senate | Sen-G | 2002-10-16 | 600 | R+16.0 | R+9.9 | R+6.1 |
| 2002 | AL · Governor | Gov-G | 2002-10-16 | 900 | R+1.0 | R+0.2 | R+0.8 |
| 1998 | SC · Senate | Sen-G | 1998-10-28 | 600 | 0 | D+7.0 | R+7.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.