MSR Group
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 6
- Mean absolute error
- 5.41percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.39
- Represented cycles
- 22002–2004
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 26, 2002through Oct 19, 2004
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2002 · 2004
6 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 6 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NE | Pres-G | 2004-10-19 | 754 | R+29.0 | R+33.3 | D+4.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_NE-2 | House-G | 2004-10-19 | 250 | R+24.0 | R+24.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_NE-1 | House-G | 2004-10-19 | 250 | R+6.0 | R+11.2 | D+5.2 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NE | Sen-G | 2002-10-26 | 604 | R+72.0 | R+68.1 | R+3.9 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NE-2 | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 196 | R+21.0 | R+30.3 | D+9.3 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_NE | Gov-G | 2002-10-26 | 604 | R+50.0 | R+41.2 | R+8.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.