Moore Information Group
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 18
- Mean absolute error
- 6.69percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.36
- Represented cycles
- 101998–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 14, 1998through Nov 4, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2020 · 2022
18 eligible historical polls across 10 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
18 shown · 18 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_WA | Sen-G | 2022-11-04 | 500 | R+0.4 | D+14.6 | R+14.9 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2022-10-31 | 800 | R+5.0 | D+1.0 | R+6.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_IA-3 | House-G | 2022-10-25 | 400 | R+2.0 | R+0.7 | R+1.3 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2022-10-24 | 800 | R+4.0 | D+1.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_WA | Sen-G | 2022-10-21 | 500 | 0 | D+14.6 | R+14.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_AL | Sen-G | 2020-10-13 | 504 | R+15.0 | R+20.4 | D+5.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_AL | Pres-G | 2020-10-13 | 504 | R+17.0 | R+25.5 | D+8.5 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_AK | Sen-G | 2014-10-27 | 500 | R+4.0 | R+2.1 | R+1.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-GS_OR-1 | House-G | 2012-01-12 | 300 | D+4.0 | D+14.3 | R+10.3 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_AZ | Gov-G | 2010-10-13 | 500 | R+17.0 | R+11.9 | R+5.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_OR-5 | House-G | 2010-10-12 | 300 | R+4.0 | D+5.3 | R+9.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_OR | Sen-G | 2008-10-28 | 400 | R+4.0 | D+3.4 | R+7.4 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_OR | Pres-G | 2008-10-28 | 400 | D+14.0 | D+16.5 | R+2.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_OR | Pres-G | 2004-10-25 | 450 | D+2.0 | D+4.2 | R+2.2 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_AK | Gov-G | 2002-10-15 | 300 | R+16.0 | R+15.2 | R+0.8 |
| 2000 | 2000_House-G_MO-2 | House-G | 2000-10-18 | 350 | R+2.0 | R+12.9 | D+10.9 |
| 2000 | 2000_House-G_WA-2 | House-G | 2000-10-17 | 300 | R+4.0 | D+4.1 | R+8.1 |
| 1998 | 1998_House-G_MT-1 | House-G | 1998-10-14 | 400 | R+15.0 | R+8.7 | R+6.3 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.