McLaughlin & Associates

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 28
Mean absolute error: 7.29percentage points
Historical bias: R+2.53
Represented cycles: 112000–2022
Current archive: 37canonical records
History span: Oct 17, 2000through Oct 24, 2022

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: AIF Center · McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2008 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2016 · 2018 · 2022

28 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

1 shown · 37 total

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Approve +9

Approve 52% · Disapprove 43%

Field dates: Jan 22–Jan 27, 2025
Sample: 1,000 LV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

28 shown · 28 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2022	2022_Gov-G_CT	Gov-G	2022-10-24	500	D+5.0	D+12.8	R+7.8
2018	2018_House-G_US	House-G	2018-10-20	1,000	D+2.0	D+8.8	R+6.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_NY	Pres-G	2016-10-28	600	D+11.0	D+22.6	R+11.6
2016	2016_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2016-10-19	600	D+2.0	R+3.4	D+5.4
2016	2016_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2016-10-19	600	D+5.0	R+0.8	D+5.8
2013	2013_Sen-GS_MA	Sen-G	2013-06-18	1,100	D+3.0	D+10.2	R+7.2
2013	2013_Sen-GS_MA	Sen-G	2013-06-11	400	D+6.0	D+10.2	R+4.2
2013	2013_Sen-GS_MA	Sen-G	2013-06-05	400	D+1.0	D+10.2	R+9.2
2012	2012_Sen-G_IN	Sen-G	2012-11-01	600	R+2.0	D+5.8	R+7.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_IN	Pres-G	2012-11-01	600	R+13.0	R+10.2	R+2.8
2012	2012_Gov-G_IN	Gov-G	2012-11-01	600	R+12.0	R+2.9	R+9.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_IN	Sen-G	2012-10-30	600	R+1.0	D+5.8	R+6.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_IN	Pres-G	2012-10-30	600	R+18.0	R+10.2	R+7.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_IN	Sen-G	2012-10-25	600	0	D+5.8	R+5.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_IN	Pres-G	2012-10-25	600	R+14.0	R+10.2	R+3.8
2012	2012_House-G_NY-6	House-G	2012-10-18	300	D+3.0	D+36.9	R+33.9
2011	2011_House-GS_NY-9	House-G	2011-08-31	300	0	R+5.2	D+5.2
2010	2010_Gov-G_CA	Gov-G	2010-10-20	900	D+3.0	D+12.9	R+9.9
2008	2008_House-G_LA-6	House-G	2008-10-23	300	D+2.0	R+7.8	D+9.8
2008	2008_House-G_LA-6	House-G	2008-10-16	300	D+11.0	R+7.8	D+18.8
2008	2008_House-GS_IL-14	House-G	2008-03-01	550	R+2.0	D+5.1	R+7.1
2004	2004_Sen-G_AK	Sen-G	2004-10-30	500	R+5.0	R+3.0	R+2.0
2004	2004_Sen-G_SC	Sen-G	2004-10-27	400	R+8.0	R+9.6	D+1.6
2004	2004_Sen-G_SD	Sen-G	2004-10-23	400	R+4.0	R+1.1	R+2.9
2004	2004_Pres-G_SD	Pres-G	2004-10-23	400	R+22.0	R+21.5	R+0.5
2002	2002_Gov-G_FL	Gov-G	2002-10-17	600	R+8.0	R+12.8	D+4.8
2000	2000_Sen-G_FL	Sen-G	2000-10-17	600	0	D+4.8	R+4.8
2000	2000_Pres-G_FL	Pres-G	2000-10-17	600	R+1.0	R+0.0	R+1.0

1 further row is held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.