Market Research Insight
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 27
- Mean absolute error
- 8.10percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.81
- Represented cycles
- 52003–2019
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Sep 18, 2003through Oct 9, 2019
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2003 · 2004 · 2015 · 2016 · 2019
27 eligible historical polls across 5 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
27 shown · 27 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2019_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2019-10-09 | 600 | D+30.0 | D+19.2 | D+10.8 |
| 2019 | 2019_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2019-10-04 | 600 | D+32.0 | D+19.2 | D+12.8 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2016-10-18 | 600 | R+3.0 | R+7.5 | D+4.5 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2016-10-18 | 600 | R+7.0 | R+19.6 | D+12.6 |
| 2015 | 2015_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2015-11-17 | 900 | D+12.0 | D+12.2 | R+0.2 |
| 2015 | 2015_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2015-11-15 | 500 | D+15.0 | D+12.2 | D+2.8 |
| 2015 | 2015_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2015-11-13 | 600 | D+15.0 | D+12.2 | D+2.8 |
| 2015 | 2015_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2015-11-10 | 600 | D+14.0 | D+12.2 | D+1.8 |
| 2015 | 2015_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2015-10-17 | 590 | D+17.0 | D+16.9 | D+0.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-GR_LA-7 | House-G | 2004-12-02 | 600 | R+26.0 | R+9.9 | R+16.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2004-10-30 | 600 | R+39.0 | R+21.7 | R+17.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-O_LA-7 | House-G | 2004-10-30 | 600 | R+5.0 | R+13.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-O_LA-3 | House-G | 2004-10-28 | 600 | R+16.0 | R+8.1 | R+7.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2004-10-27 | 600 | R+36.0 | R+21.7 | R+14.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-O_LA-7 | House-G | 2004-10-27 | 600 | R+7.0 | R+13.4 | D+6.4 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-O_LA-3 | House-G | 2004-10-24 | 600 | R+11.0 | R+8.1 | R+2.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2004-10-18 | 600 | R+29.0 | R+21.7 | R+7.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2004-10-18 | 600 | R+15.0 | R+14.5 | R+0.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-O_LA-3 | House-G | 2004-10-18 | 600 | R+16.0 | R+8.1 | R+7.9 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2003-11-11 | 600 | R+4.0 | D+3.9 | R+7.9 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2003-11-08 | 600 | R+8.1 | D+3.9 | R+12.0 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2003-11-04 | 600 | R+6.0 | D+3.9 | R+9.9 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2003-10-31 | 600 | R+2.0 | D+3.9 | R+5.9 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2003-10-28 | 600 | R+11.0 | D+3.9 | R+14.9 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2003-09-28 | 600 | R+7.0 | R+14.2 | D+7.2 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2003-09-21 | 600 | R+3.0 | R+14.2 | D+11.2 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2003-09-18 | 600 | R+2.0 | R+14.2 | D+12.2 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.