Los Angeles Times
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 23
- Mean absolute error
- 4.81percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.40
- Represented cycles
- 71998–2008
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 1998through Oct 26, 2008
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2003 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008
23 eligible historical polls across 7 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
23 shown · 23 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2008-10-26 | 644 | D+7.0 | D+4.6 | D+2.4 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2008-10-26 | 639 | D+8.0 | D+2.8 | D+5.2 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2006-10-22 | 385 | D+3.0 | D+0.4 | D+2.6 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_TN | Sen-G | 2006-10-22 | 515 | R+5.0 | R+2.7 | R+2.3 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2006-10-22 | 507 | D+8.0 | D+12.3 | R+4.3 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2006-10-22 | 314 | D+4.0 | D+16.0 | R+12.0 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_MO | Sen-G | 2006-10-22 | 593 | R+3.0 | D+2.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2004-10-24 | 568 | 0 | D+2.5 | R+2.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2004-10-24 | 585 | D+6.0 | R+2.1 | D+8.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2004-10-24 | 510 | R+8.0 | R+5.0 | R+3.0 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2004-10-23 | 881 | R+1.0 | R+2.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2004-10-16 | 925 | D+22.0 | D+19.9 | D+2.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_CA | Pres-G | 2004-10-16 | 925 | D+17.5 | D+9.9 | D+7.5 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GS_CA | Gov-G | 2003-09-27 | 815 | R+8.0 | R+17.1 | D+9.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 2002-10-25 | 879 | D+9.0 | D+4.9 | D+4.1 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2000-10-28 | 420 | R+2.0 | D+4.2 | R+6.2 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_MI | Pres-G | 2000-10-28 | 401 | D+4.0 | D+5.1 | R+1.1 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2000-10-28 | 401 | R+4.0 | R+0.0 | R+4.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2000-10-21 | 852 | D+25.0 | D+19.3 | D+5.7 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_CA | Pres-G | 2000-10-21 | 852 | D+7.0 | D+11.8 | R+4.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 1998-10-19 | 883 | D+5.0 | D+10.1 | R+5.0 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 1998-10-19 | 883 | D+11.0 | D+19.6 | R+8.6 |
| 1998 | 1998_House-G_CA-46 | House-G | 1998-10-17 | 1,000 | D+14.0 | D+17.1 | R+3.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.