Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 14
- Mean absolute error
- 6.26percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.37
- Represented cycles
- 22014–2016
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 23, 2014through Nov 2, 2016
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2014 · 2016
14 eligible historical polls across 2 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
14 shown · 14 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_IA | Sen-G | 2016-11-02 | 500 | R+16.2 | R+24.5 | D+8.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_IA | Pres-G | 2016-11-02 | 500 | R+2.3 | R+9.5 | D+7.2 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_IA-3 | House-G | 2016-11-02 | 417 | R+5.0 | R+13.7 | D+8.7 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_IA-1 | House-G | 2016-11-02 | 415 | R+6.0 | R+7.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2016-11-01 | 500 | D+1.8 | R+3.4 | D+5.2 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2016-11-01 | 500 | D+3.8 | R+0.8 | D+4.5 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_IL | Sen-G | 2016-10-27 | 600 | D+8.0 | D+15.1 | R+7.1 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_IL | Pres-G | 2016-10-27 | 600 | D+11.1 | D+17.1 | R+6.0 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_IA | Sen-G | 2014-10-23 | 1,121 | D+1.1 | R+8.3 | D+9.4 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IA-4 | House-G | 2014-10-23 | 280 | R+12.1 | R+23.4 | D+11.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IA-3 | House-G | 2014-10-23 | 280 | R+2.1 | R+10.6 | D+8.5 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IA-2 | House-G | 2014-10-23 | 279 | D+13.4 | D+5.1 | D+8.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IA-1 | House-G | 2014-10-23 | 282 | R+1.5 | R+2.3 | D+0.8 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_IA | Gov-G | 2014-10-23 | 1,121 | R+20.8 | R+21.7 | D+0.9 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.