Kimball Political Consulting
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 6
- Mean absolute error
- 6.30percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.10
- Represented cycles
- 12012
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 20, 2012through Nov 1, 2012
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2012
6 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 6 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_MA | Sen-G | 2012-11-01 | 761 | R+2.0 | D+7.5 | R+9.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_MA | Pres-G | 2012-11-01 | 761 | D+13.0 | D+23.2 | R+10.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_M2 | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 824 | D+5.0 | D+8.6 | R+3.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_ME-2 | House-G | 2012-10-30 | 825 | D+14.1 | D+16.4 | R+2.3 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_MA | Sen-G | 2012-10-20 | 761 | D+2.5 | D+7.5 | R+5.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_MA | Pres-G | 2012-10-20 | 761 | D+16.0 | D+23.2 | R+7.2 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.