Kiley & Company
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 5
- Mean absolute error
- 4.35percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.86
- Represented cycles
- 32010–2014
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 14, 2010through Oct 24, 2014
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2010 · 2012 · 2014
5 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
5 shown · 5 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_MA | Gov-G | 2014-10-24 | 1,200 | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_MO | Sen-G | 2012-10-25 | 600 | D+14.0 | D+15.7 | R+1.7 |
| 2012 | 2012_Gov-G_MO | Gov-G | 2012-10-25 | 601 | D+22.0 | D+12.2 | D+9.8 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_MO | Sen-G | 2012-10-18 | 600 | D+14.0 | D+15.7 | R+1.7 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_MA-4 | House-G | 2010-10-14 | 500 | D+19.0 | D+10.5 | D+8.5 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.