Keating Research
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 5
- Mean absolute error
- 2.42percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.27
- Represented cycles
- 32012–2016
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 24, 2012through Nov 3, 2016
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2012 · 2014 · 2016
5 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
5 shown · 5 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2016-11-03 | 605 | D+11.0 | D+5.7 | D+5.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_CO | Pres-G | 2016-11-03 | 605 | D+5.0 | D+4.9 | D+0.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2014-10-22 | 1,005 | D+1.0 | R+1.9 | D+2.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_CO | Pres-G | 2012-11-03 | 603 | D+4.0 | D+5.4 | R+1.4 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_CO | Pres-G | 2012-10-24 | 502 | D+3.0 | D+5.4 | R+2.4 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.