KAConsulting
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 12
- Mean absolute error
- 4.53percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.25
- Represented cycles
- 32021–2025
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 20, 2021through Oct 16, 2025
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2021 · 2022 · 2025
12 eligible historical polls across 3 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
12 shown · 12 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-16 | — | D+3.0 | D+14.4 | R+11.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_NV | Sen-G | 2022-11-03 | 501 | D+1.0 | D+0.8 | D+0.2 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_AZ | Sen-G | 2022-11-03 | 501 | D+1.0 | D+4.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NV | Gov-G | 2022-11-03 | 501 | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | R+0.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_AZ | Gov-G | 2022-11-03 | 501 | R+4.0 | D+0.7 | R+4.7 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_NY | Sen-G | 2022-10-28 | 501 | D+12.0 | D+14.0 | R+2.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_NY | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 501 | D+1.0 | D+6.4 | R+5.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_MI | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 501 | D+7.0 | D+10.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_WA | Sen-G | 2022-10-21 | 500 | D+6.0 | D+14.6 | R+8.6 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_MD-6 | House-G | 2022-10-19 | 300 | D+5.0 | D+9.6 | R+4.6 |
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_MD-2 | House-G | 2022-10-19 | 300 | D+9.0 | D+18.6 | R+9.6 |
| 2021 | 2021_Gov-G_VA | Gov-G | 2021-10-20 | 661 | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | R+0.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.