Generic ballot
Dem +4Generic ballot
Dem 35% · Rep 31%
- Field dates
- May 15–May 18, 2026
- Sample
- 1,271 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Ipsos
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 106
- Mean absolute error
- 4.21percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.08
- Represented cycles
- 132002–2024
- Current archive
- 138canonical records
- History span
- Oct 16, 2002through Nov 3, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Reuters/Ipsos
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2002 · 2003 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024
106 eligible historical polls across 13 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 138 total
Approval
Disapprove +23Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 38% · Disapprove 61%
- Field dates
- May 15–May 18, 2026
- Sample
- 984 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +1Generic ballot
Dem 39% · Rep 38%
- Field dates
- May 15–May 18, 2026
- Sample
- 984 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +28Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 35% · Disapprove 63%
- Field dates
- May 15–May 18, 2026
- Sample
- 1,271 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +6Generic ballot
Dem 41% · Rep 35%
- Field dates
- May 8–May 11, 2026
- Sample
- 993 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +5Generic ballot
Dem 36% · Rep 31%
- Field dates
- May 8–May 11, 2026
- Sample
- 1,254 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +27Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 36% · Disapprove 63%
- Field dates
- May 8–May 11, 2026
- Sample
- 1,254 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +5Generic ballot
Dem 49% · Rep 44%
- Field dates
- Apr 24–Apr 28, 2026
- Sample
- 2,059 RV
- Sponsor / client
- ABC News · The Washington Post
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +25Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 37% · Disapprove 62%
- Field dates
- Apr 24–Apr 28, 2026
- Sample
- 2,560 A
- Sponsor / client
- ABC News · The Washington Post
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +21Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 39% · Disapprove 60%
- Field dates
- Apr 24–Apr 28, 2026
- Sample
- 2,059 RV
- Sponsor / client
- ABC News · The Washington Post
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +4Generic ballot
Dem 41% · Rep 37%
- Field dates
- Apr 24–Apr 27, 2026
- Sample
- 1,014 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +30Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 34% · Disapprove 64%
- Field dates
- Apr 24–Apr 27, 2026
- Sample
- 1,269 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 106 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-11-02 | 505 | R+3.0 | R+5.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-31 | 600 | R+2.0 | R+5.0 | D+3.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-30 | 600 | 0 | R+5.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-28 | 600 | D+1.0 | R+5.0 | D+6.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 600 | D+2.0 | R+5.0 | D+7.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-16 | 600 | 0 | R+5.0 | D+5.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.