Approval
Disapprove +7Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 44% · Disapprove 51%
- Field dates
- Mar 3–Mar 4, 2025
- Sample
- 1,174 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Ipsos
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 106
- Mean absolute error
- 4.21percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.08
- Represented cycles
- 132002–2024
- Current archive
- 138canonical records
- History span
- Oct 16, 2002through Nov 3, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Reuters/Ipsos
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2002 · 2003 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024
106 eligible historical polls across 13 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
6 shown · 138 total
Approval
Disapprove +6Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 44% · Disapprove 50%
- Field dates
- Feb 21–Feb 23, 2025
- Sample
- 1,029 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +8Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 45% · Disapprove 53%
- Field dates
- Feb 13–Feb 18, 2025
- Sample
- 2,601 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +3Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 48% · Disapprove 51%
- Field dates
- Feb 13–Feb 18, 2025
- Sample
- 2,177 RV
- Sponsor / client
- The Washington Post
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +1Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 45% · Disapprove 46%
- Field dates
- Jan 24–Jan 26, 2025
- Sample
- 1,034 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Approve +6Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 47% · Disapprove 41%
- Field dates
- Jan 20–Jan 21, 2025
- Sample
- 1,077 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 106 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-11-02 | 505 | R+3.0 | R+5.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-31 | 600 | R+2.0 | R+5.0 | D+3.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-30 | 600 | 0 | R+5.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-28 | 600 | D+1.0 | R+5.0 | D+6.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 600 | D+2.0 | R+5.0 | D+7.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-16 | 600 | 0 | R+5.0 | D+5.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.