Approval
Disapprove +22Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 38% · Disapprove 60%
- Field dates
- Nov 14–Nov 17, 2025
- Sample
- 1,017 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Ipsos
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 106
- Mean absolute error
- 4.21percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.08
- Represented cycles
- 132002–2024
- Current archive
- 138canonical records
- History span
- Oct 16, 2002through Nov 3, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Reuters/Ipsos
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2002 · 2003 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024
106 eligible historical polls across 13 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 138 total
Generic ballot
Dem +1Generic ballot
Dem 41% · Rep 40%
- Field dates
- Nov 7–Nov 12, 2025
- Sample
- 938 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +18Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 40% · Disapprove 58%
- Field dates
- Nov 7–Nov 12, 2025
- Sample
- 1,200 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +17Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 40% · Disapprove 57%
- Field dates
- Oct 24–Oct 26, 2025
- Sample
- 1,018 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +14Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 42% · Disapprove 56%
- Field dates
- Oct 15–Oct 20, 2025
- Sample
- 4,385 A
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +18Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 40% · Disapprove 58%
- Field dates
- Oct 3–Oct 7, 2025
- Sample
- 1,154 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +13Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 43% · Disapprove 56%
- Field dates
- Sep 11–Sep 15, 2025
- Sample
- 2,513 A
- Sponsor / client
- The Washington Post
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +14Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 42% · Disapprove 56%
- Field dates
- Sep 5–Sep 9, 2025
- Sample
- 1,084 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +14Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 40% · Disapprove 54%
- Field dates
- Aug 22–Aug 24, 2025
- Sample
- 1,022 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +14Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 40% · Disapprove 54%
- Field dates
- Aug 13–Aug 18, 2025
- Sample
- 4,446 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +16Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 40% · Disapprove 56%
- Field dates
- Jul 25–Jul 27, 2025
- Sample
- 1,023 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +13Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 41% · Disapprove 54%
- Field dates
- Jul 15–Jul 16, 2025
- Sample
- 1,027 A
- Sponsor / client
- Reuters
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 106 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-11-02 | 505 | R+3.0 | R+5.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-31 | 600 | R+2.0 | R+5.0 | D+3.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-30 | 600 | 0 | R+5.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-28 | 600 | D+1.0 | R+5.0 | D+6.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 600 | D+2.0 | R+5.0 | D+7.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_US | House-G | 2002-10-16 | 600 | 0 | R+5.0 | D+5.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.