Howey Politics/DePauw University
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 6
- Mean absolute error
- 7.34percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.19
- Represented cycles
- 22008–2012
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 24, 2008through Oct 29, 2012
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Participating organizations
- Howey Politics · DePauw University
- Cycles represented
- 2008 · 2012
6 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
6 shown · 6 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_IN | Sen-G | 2012-10-29 | 800 | D+11.0 | D+5.8 | D+5.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_IN | Pres-G | 2012-10-29 | 800 | R+10.0 | R+10.2 | D+0.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_Gov-G_IN | Gov-G | 2012-10-29 | 800 | R+7.0 | R+2.9 | R+4.1 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_IN | Pres-G | 2008-10-24 | 600 | R+2.0 | D+1.0 | R+3.0 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_IN-3 | House-G | 2008-10-24 | 300 | D+3.0 | R+15.3 | D+18.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_Gov-G_IN | Gov-G | 2008-10-24 | 600 | R+31.0 | R+17.8 | R+13.2 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.