Hays Research Group
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 5
- Mean absolute error
- 10.54percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+3.10
- Represented cycles
- 22006–2008
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 25, 2006through Nov 2, 2008
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2006 · 2008
5 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
5 shown · 5 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_AK | Sen-G | 2008-11-02 | 400 | D+7.3 | D+1.3 | D+6.0 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_AK | Pres-G | 2008-11-02 | 400 | R+3.7 | R+21.6 | D+17.9 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_AK-1 | House-G | 2008-11-02 | 400 | D+6.3 | R+5.2 | D+11.5 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_AK-1 | House-G | 2006-11-02 | 400 | R+7.0 | R+16.6 | D+9.6 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_AK-1 | House-G | 2006-10-25 | 400 | R+9.0 | R+16.6 | D+7.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.