Generic ballot
Dem +1Generic ballot
Dem 46% · Rep 45%
- Field dates
- May 20–Jun 7, 2026
- Sample
- 1,137 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Forbes
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
HarrisX
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 10
- Mean absolute error
- 2.61percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.11
- Represented cycles
- 12024
- Current archive
- 17canonical records
- History span
- Oct 22, 2024through Nov 5, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- HarrisX/Forbes
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2024
All 10 eligible historical polls come from one cycle, so this record does not yet describe performance across elections.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
5 shown · 17 total
Generic ballot
Dem +1Generic ballot
Dem 46% · Rep 45%
- Field dates
- Apr 29–May 5, 2026
- Sample
- 2,569 A
- Sponsor / client
- Forbes
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +1Generic ballot
Dem 46% · Rep 45%
- Field dates
- Apr 29–May 5, 2026
- Sample
- 2,359 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Forbes
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot
Dem +2Generic ballot
Dem 48% · Rep 46%
- Field dates
- Apr 29–May 5, 2026
- Sample
- 1,891 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +2Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 47% · Disapprove 49%
- Field dates
- Apr 4–Apr 7, 2025
- Sample
- 1,883 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
10 shown · 10 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | WI · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-05 | — | D+0.5 | R+0.9 | D+1.4 |
| 2024 | PA · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-05 | — | D+3.5 | R+1.7 | D+5.2 |
| 2024 | NV · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-05 | — | D+1.0 | R+3.1 | D+4.1 |
| 2024 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-05 | — | R+1.5 | R+3.2 | D+1.7 |
| 2024 | MI · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-05 | — | D+1.0 | R+1.4 | D+2.4 |
| 2024 | GA · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-05 | — | R+2.5 | R+2.2 | R+0.3 |
| 2024 | AZ · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-05 | — | R+2.0 | R+5.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2024 | national · President | Pres-G | 2024-11-02 | — | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2024 | national · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-29 | — | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2024 | national · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-22 | — | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | R+0.5 |
1 further row is held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.