Google Consumer Surveys
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 24
- Mean absolute error
- 5.34percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.13
- Represented cycles
- 22012–2016
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2012through Nov 4, 2016
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2012 · 2016
24 eligible historical polls across 2 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
24 shown · 24 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-11-04 | 26,574 | D+2.3 | D+2.1 | D+0.2 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-28 | 24,316 | D+2.6 | D+2.1 | D+0.5 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-28 | 943 | D+0.5 | D+2.1 | R+1.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_US | House-G | 2016-10-28 | 943 | R+2.9 | R+1.1 | R+1.8 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_KY | Sen-G | 2016-10-27 | 1,016 | R+6.6 | R+14.6 | D+8.0 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_KY | Pres-G | 2016-10-27 | 1,004 | R+13.4 | R+29.8 | D+16.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_ID | Pres-G | 2016-10-26 | 417 | R+12.0 | R+31.8 | D+19.8 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_AK | Pres-G | 2016-10-26 | 446 | R+1.0 | R+15.2 | D+14.2 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-22 | 21,240 | D+4.7 | D+2.1 | D+2.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2016-10-19 | 439 | R+22.0 | R+13.8 | R+8.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2016-10-19 | 500 | R+19.0 | R+7.7 | R+11.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_AL | Sen-G | 2016-10-19 | 474 | R+45.0 | R+28.1 | R+16.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-11-05 | 3,252 | D+2.3 | D+3.9 | R+1.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-11-04 | 2,530 | D+0.3 | D+3.9 | R+3.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-11-03 | 2,727 | R+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+4.8 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-11-02 | 2,527 | D+3.7 | D+3.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-11-01 | 2,318 | D+2.0 | D+3.9 | R+1.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,547 | D+4.0 | D+3.9 | D+0.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,834 | R+1.1 | D+3.9 | R+5.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-25 | 1,712 | D+3.7 | D+3.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-23 | 1,726 | D+1.5 | D+3.9 | R+2.4 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-22 | 1,499 | D+1.7 | D+3.9 | R+2.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-18 | 1,817 | D+0.6 | D+3.9 | R+3.3 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2012-10-17 | 1,916 | D+2.2 | D+3.9 | R+1.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.