Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 9
- Mean absolute error
- 6.18percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.20
- Represented cycles
- 52000–2020
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 27, 2000through Oct 22, 2020
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2000 · 2002 · 2010 · 2014 · 2020
9 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
9 shown · 9 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MD | Pres-G | 2020-10-22 | 820 | D+25.1 | D+33.4 | R+8.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 2014-10-22 | 822 | D+2.0 | R+3.8 | D+5.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_MD | Sen-G | 2010-10-14 | 816 | D+17.0 | D+26.5 | R+9.5 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 2010-10-14 | 816 | D+5.0 | D+14.5 | R+9.5 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_MD-8 | House-G | 2002-10-17 | 333 | R+2.0 | D+4.2 | R+6.2 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_MD-2 | House-G | 2002-10-17 | 331 | D+4.0 | D+8.6 | R+4.6 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 2002-10-17 | 840 | R+1.0 | R+3.9 | D+2.9 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_MD | Sen-G | 2000-10-27 | 627 | D+33.0 | D+26.5 | D+6.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_MD | Pres-G | 2000-10-27 | 627 | D+14.0 | D+16.3 | R+2.3 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.