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Pollster file

Global Strategy Group

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
26
Mean absolute error
6.29percentage points
Historical bias
D+2.97
Represented cycles
82004–2022
Current archive
47canonical records
History span
Oct 13, 2004through Oct 26, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Global Strategy Group (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2014 · 2022

26 eligible historical polls across 8 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 47 total

Race

HOU-CO-05

Crank +3

Don't know 13% · Matt Cavanaugh 5% · Jeff Crank 43% · Jessica Killin 40%

Field dates
Oct 30–Nov 3, 2025
Sample
450 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Tied

Christina Hines 45% · Michael Bouchard 45%

Field dates
Aug 10–Aug 13, 2026
Sample
600 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Lawrence +2

William Lawrence 49% · Tom Barrett 47%

Field dates
Aug 11–Aug 13, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
James +1

Joe Mitchell 45% · Lindsay James 46%

Field dates
Jul 14–Jul 19, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Disapprove +18

Approve 40% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates
Jun 4–Jun 8, 2026
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Navigator Research
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +20

Approve 39% · Disapprove 59%

Field dates
May 13–May 18, 2026
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Navigator Research
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +18

Approve 40% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates
Apr 23–Apr 27, 2026
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Navigator Research
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +18

Approve 40% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates
Apr 2–Apr 6, 2026
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Navigator Research
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +17

Approve 41% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates
Feb 19–Feb 23, 2026
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Navigator Research
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +15

Approve 41% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates
Jan 29–Feb 1, 2026
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Navigator Research
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +14

Approve 42% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates
Jan 8–Jan 12, 2026
Sample
1,000 RV
Sponsor / client
Navigator Research
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

26 shown · 26 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20222022_House-G_NY-22House-G2022-10-26400D+2.0R+1.0D+3.0
20142014_House-G_NY-18House-G2014-10-22401D+6.0D+1.9D+4.1
20142014_House-G_NY-24House-G2014-10-21400D+5.0R+19.2D+24.2
20142014_House-G_HI-1House-G2014-10-21400D+7.0D+3.9D+3.1
20142014_House-G_NY-19House-G2014-10-18401R+10.0R+29.0D+19.0
20122012_Sen-G_INSen-G2012-10-29600D+8.0D+5.8D+2.2
20122012_House-G_NY-21House-G2012-10-22403D+7.0D+2.0D+5.0
20122012_Sen-G_INSen-G2012-10-19603D+2.0D+5.8R+3.8
20112011_House-GS_NY-9House-G2011-08-31400D+8.0R+5.2D+13.2
20112011_House-GS_NY-26House-G2011-05-03400R+1.0D+5.0R+6.0
20102010_Gov-G_IAGov-G2010-10-24600R+6.0R+9.6D+3.6
20102010_Sen-GS_WVSen-G2010-10-19804D+5.0D+10.1R+5.1
20102010_House-G_PA-8House-G2010-10-18400D+2.0R+7.0D+9.1
20102010_House-GS_PA-12House-G2010-04-28400D+8.0D+7.7D+0.3
20082008_House-GS_IL-14House-G2008-02-23402D+4.0D+5.1R+1.1
20062006_House-G_PA-8House-G2006-10-30400D+5.0D+0.6D+4.4
20062006_Gov-G_IAGov-G2006-10-28600D+7.0D+9.7R+2.7
20062006_Gov-G_IAGov-G2006-10-28600D+7.0D+9.7R+2.7
20062006_House-G_NY-20House-G2006-10-17404D+2.0D+6.2R+4.2
20042004_Sen-G_FLSen-G2004-10-25700D+4.0R+1.1D+5.1
20042004_Sen-G_NCSen-G2004-10-20800D+2.0R+4.6D+6.6
20042004_Sen-G_OKSen-G2004-10-19600D+1.0R+11.5D+12.5
20042004_Sen-G_COSen-G2004-10-18600D+6.0D+4.8D+1.2
20042004_Sen-G_AKSen-G2004-10-18600D+4.0R+3.0D+7.0
20042004_Pres-G_WVPres-G2004-10-13600R+2.0R+12.9D+10.9
20042004_Gov-G_WVGov-G2004-10-13600D+33.0D+29.5D+3.5

1 further row is held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.