Frederick Polls
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 7
- Mean absolute error
- 3.31percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.86
- Represented cycles
- 32012–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2012through Nov 25, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2012 · 2020 · 2022
7 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
7 shown · 7 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-GR_GA | Sen-G | 2022-11-25 | 939 | 0 | D+2.8 | R+2.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2020-10-31 | 676 | D+4.0 | R+1.8 | D+5.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 879 | D+4.0 | D+1.2 | D+2.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 676 | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | D+3.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-31 | 768 | D+2.0 | R+3.4 | D+5.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Gov-G_NC | Gov-G | 2020-10-31 | 676 | D+7.0 | D+4.5 | D+2.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_FL-18 | House-G | 2012-10-17 | 333 | 0 | D+0.6 | R+0.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.