Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 12
- Mean absolute error
- 6.87percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.24
- Represented cycles
- 32000–2004
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 24, 2000through Oct 27, 2004
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2000 · 2002 · 2004
12 eligible historical polls across 3 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
12 shown · 12 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2004-10-27 | 617 | R+40.0 | R+32.5 | R+7.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2004-10-27 | 617 | D+7.0 | D+1.4 | D+5.6 |
| 2004 | 2004_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2004-10-27 | 617 | D+1.0 | D+2.1 | R+1.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2004-10-20 | 617 | R+33.0 | R+32.5 | R+0.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2004-10-20 | 617 | D+9.0 | D+1.4 | D+7.6 |
| 2004 | 2004_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2004-10-20 | 617 | 0 | D+2.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2002-10-29 | 933 | D+5.0 | R+4.4 | D+9.4 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2002-10-29 | 466 | R+7.0 | R+19.6 | D+12.6 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2002-10-29 | 933 | R+8.0 | R+20.4 | D+12.4 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 468 | R+19.0 | R+16.0 | R+3.0 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2000-10-24 | 885 | D+3.0 | R+1.3 | D+4.3 |
| 2000 | 2000_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2000-10-24 | 885 | D+21.0 | D+5.0 | D+16.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.