Fleming & Associates
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 16
- Mean absolute error
- 4.93percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.05
- Represented cycles
- 71998–2018
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 22, 1998through Oct 22, 2018
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2006 · 2010 · 2012 · 2018
16 eligible historical polls across 7 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
16 shown · 16 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_RI | Sen-G | 2018-10-22 | 416 | D+19.0 | D+23.2 | R+4.2 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_RI | Gov-G | 2018-10-22 | 416 | D+10.8 | D+15.5 | R+4.7 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_RI | Sen-G | 2012-10-26 | 601 | D+21.3 | D+29.9 | R+8.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_RI | Pres-G | 2012-10-26 | 601 | D+21.0 | D+27.5 | R+6.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_RI-2 | House-G | 2012-10-26 | 301 | D+17.0 | D+20.6 | R+3.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_RI-1 | House-G | 2012-10-26 | 300 | D+1.0 | D+12.1 | R+11.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_RI-1 | House-G | 2010-10-23 | 250 | D+6.0 | D+6.1 | R+0.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_MA-4 | House-G | 2010-10-16 | 400 | D+12.0 | D+10.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_RI | Gov-G | 2006-10-29 | 401 | R+9.0 | R+2.0 | R+7.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_RI-1 | House-G | 2002-10-28 | 250 | D+21.0 | D+22.6 | R+1.6 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_RI | Gov-G | 2002-10-28 | 401 | R+3.0 | R+9.5 | D+6.5 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2002-10-24 | 600 | R+6.0 | R+12.8 | D+6.8 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2000-10-20 | 606 | D+3.0 | D+4.8 | R+1.9 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2000-10-20 | 606 | R+5.0 | R+0.0 | R+5.0 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_RI | Gov-G | 1998-10-23 | 400 | R+4.0 | R+8.8 | D+4.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 1998-10-22 | 557 | D+30.0 | D+24.9 | D+5.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.