Financial Dynamics
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 15
- Mean absolute error
- 3.14percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.91
- Represented cycles
- 22006–2008
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 21, 2006through Nov 1, 2008
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2006 · 2008
15 eligible historical polls across 2 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
15 shown · 15 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-11-01 | 887 | D+5.0 | D+7.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_US | House-G | 2008-11-01 | 600 | D+5.0 | D+11.1 | R+6.1 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-29 | 870 | D+7.0 | D+7.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_US | House-G | 2008-10-29 | 870 | D+9.0 | D+11.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-26 | 878 | D+8.0 | D+7.3 | D+0.7 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_US | House-G | 2008-10-26 | 800 | D+8.0 | D+11.1 | R+3.1 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-23 | 869 | D+7.0 | D+7.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_US | House-G | 2008-10-23 | 869 | D+8.0 | D+11.1 | R+3.1 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-20 | 782 | D+5.0 | D+7.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_US | House-G | 2008-10-20 | 780 | D+6.0 | D+11.1 | R+5.1 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-17 | 785 | D+7.0 | D+7.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_US | House-G | 2008-10-17 | 785 | D+5.0 | D+11.1 | R+6.1 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2008-10-14 | 817 | D+8.0 | D+7.3 | D+0.7 |
| 2008 | 2008_House-G_US | House-G | 2008-10-14 | 725 | D+6.0 | D+11.1 | R+5.1 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_US | House-G | 2006-10-21 | 1,000 | D+18.0 | D+8.2 | D+9.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.