Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 18
- Mean absolute error
- 3.79percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.47
- Represented cycles
- 101998–2014
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 1998through Oct 22, 2014
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2003 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014
18 eligible historical polls across 10 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
18 shown · 18 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 2014-10-22 | 941 | D+21.0 | D+19.9 | D+1.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2012-10-24 | 1,566 | D+21.0 | D+25.1 | R+4.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_CA | Pres-G | 2012-10-24 | 1,566 | D+15.0 | D+23.1 | R+8.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2010-10-20 | 1,092 | D+8.0 | D+10.0 | R+2.0 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 2010-10-20 | 1,092 | D+10.0 | D+12.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_CA | Pres-G | 2008-10-23 | 966 | D+22.0 | D+24.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2006-10-27 | 795 | D+22.0 | D+24.4 | R+2.4 |
| 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 2006-10-27 | 795 | R+16.0 | R+17.0 | D+1.0 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2004-10-24 | 1,086 | D+19.0 | D+19.9 | R+0.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_CA | Pres-G | 2004-10-24 | 1,086 | D+7.0 | D+9.9 | R+3.0 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GS_CA | Gov-G | 2003-09-28 | 894 | R+10.0 | R+17.1 | D+7.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 2002-10-28 | 740 | D+7.0 | D+4.9 | D+2.1 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_CA | Pres-G | 2000-11-03 | 924 | D+5.0 | D+11.8 | R+6.8 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2000-10-29 | 900 | D+20.0 | D+19.3 | D+0.7 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_CA | Pres-G | 2000-10-29 | 990 | D+7.0 | D+11.8 | R+4.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 1998-10-25 | 678 | D+9.0 | D+10.1 | R+1.1 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 1998-10-25 | 678 | D+14.0 | D+19.6 | R+5.6 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 1998-10-17 | 809 | D+7.0 | D+19.6 | R+12.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.