Fairleigh Dickinson University
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 21
- Mean absolute error
- 4.61percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.45
- Represented cycles
- 122001–2025
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 30, 2001through Oct 15, 2025
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2001 · 2002 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2013 · 2014 · 2021 · 2025
21 eligible historical polls across 12 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
21 shown · 21 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NJ · Governor | Gov-G | 2025-10-15 | — | D+7.0 | D+14.4 | R+7.4 |
| 2021 | 2021_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2021-10-26 | 823 | D+9.0 | D+3.2 | D+5.8 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2014-10-16 | 525 | D+16.0 | D+13.5 | D+2.5 |
| 2013 | 2013_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2013-10-27 | 570 | R+19.0 | R+22.1 | D+3.1 |
| 2013 | 2013_Sen-GS_NJ | Sen-G | 2013-10-03 | 702 | D+16.0 | D+10.9 | D+5.1 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-GS_DE | Sen-G | 2010-10-23 | 797 | D+21.0 | D+16.6 | D+4.4 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_DE-1 | House-G | 2010-10-23 | 797 | D+17.0 | D+15.7 | D+1.3 |
| 2009 | 2009_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2009-10-27 | 1,119 | D+2.0 | R+3.6 | D+5.6 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2008-10-26 | 852 | D+20.0 | D+14.1 | D+5.9 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2008-10-26 | 852 | D+18.0 | D+15.6 | D+2.4 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2006-10-28 | 577 | D+10.0 | D+16.0 | R+6.0 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_DE | Sen-G | 2006-10-21 | 502 | D+34.0 | D+41.5 | R+7.5 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_DE-1 | House-G | 2006-10-21 | 502 | R+35.0 | R+18.4 | R+16.6 |
| 2005 | 2005_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2005-10-30 | 410 | D+2.0 | D+10.4 | R+8.4 |
| 2005 | 2005_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2005-10-28 | 421 | D+4.0 | D+10.4 | R+6.5 |
| 2005 | 2005_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2005-10-23 | 410 | D+8.0 | D+10.4 | R+2.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2004-10-25 | 549 | D+7.0 | D+6.7 | D+0.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2004-10-17 | 503 | D+8.0 | D+6.7 | D+1.3 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2002-10-31 | 921 | D+9.0 | D+9.9 | R+0.9 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2002-10-30 | 600 | D+10.0 | D+9.9 | D+0.1 |
| 2001 | 2001_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2001-10-30 | 600 | D+18.0 | D+14.8 | D+3.2 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.