Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 9
- Mean absolute error
- 8.35percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.65
- Represented cycles
- 52002–2008
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 18, 2002through Oct 25, 2008
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Participating organizations
- Ed Renwick · Loyola University New Orleans
- Cycles represented
- 2002 · 2003 · 2004 · 2007 · 2008
9 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
9 shown · 9 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_LA | Sen-G | 2008-10-25 | 500 | D+15.0 | D+6.4 | D+8.6 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2008-10-25 | 500 | R+3.0 | R+18.6 | D+15.6 |
| 2007 | 2007_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2007-10-05 | 500 | R+41.0 | R+36.4 | R+4.6 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2004-10-14 | 600 | R+24.0 | R+21.7 | R+2.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2004-10-14 | 600 | R+9.0 | R+14.5 | D+5.5 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2003-11-01 | 600 | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2003-09-21 | 600 | D+3.0 | R+14.2 | D+17.2 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2003-09-19 | 600 | D+3.0 | R+14.2 | D+17.2 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2002-10-18 | 600 | D+20.0 | D+18.8 | D+1.2 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.