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Pollster file

Echelon Insights

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
15
Mean absolute error
2.75percentage points
Historical bias
R+0.79
Represented cycles
52020–2025
Current archive
72canonical records
History span
Oct 18, 2020through Oct 31, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
No additional reviewed aliases
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

15 eligible historical polls across 5 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 72 total

Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +5

Dem 50% · Rep 45%

Field dates
Oct 15–Oct 19, 2026
Sample
1,010 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +8

Dem 51% · Rep 43%

Field dates
Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026
Sample
1,002 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +5

Dem 50% · Rep 45%

Field dates
Aug 13–Aug 17, 2026
Sample
1,002 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +6

Dem 50% · Rep 44%

Field dates
Jul 9–Jul 13, 2026
Sample
1,004 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Rep +1

Dem 46% · Rep 47%

Field dates
Aug 14–Aug 18, 2025
Sample
1,057 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

15 shown · 15 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2025VA · GovernorGov-G2025-10-31—D+12.0D+15.4R+3.4
2025VA · Attorney generalAG-G2025-10-31—R+3.0D+6.7R+9.7
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-30—0R+0.9D+0.9
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-30—R+5.5R+1.7R+3.8
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-30—0R+1.4D+1.4
2022GA · SenateSen-G2022-11-01500R+5.5D+1.0R+6.5
2022GA · GovernorGov-G2022-11-01500R+8.0R+7.5R+0.5
2022NV · SenateSen-G2022-10-25500R+1.0D+0.8R+1.8
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-251,014D+2.0R+2.7D+4.7
2022NV · GovernorGov-G2022-10-25500R+1.5R+1.5D+0.0
2022PA · SenateSen-G2022-10-19500D+3.0D+4.9R+1.9
2022PA · GovernorGov-G2022-10-19500D+12.0D+14.8R+2.8
2021VA · GovernorGov-G2021-10-28611R+3.0R+1.9R+1.1
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-181,006D+6.5D+4.5D+2.0
2020national · HouseHouse-G2020-10-181,006D+4.0D+3.0D+1.0

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.