Drake Research & Strategy, Inc.
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 8
- Mean absolute error
- 6.77percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.03
- Represented cycles
- 21998–2002
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 14, 1998through Oct 30, 2002
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2002
8 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
8 shown · 8 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2002-10-30 | 500 | D+4.0 | R+4.9 | D+8.9 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_CO | Gov-G | 2002-10-30 | 500 | R+24.0 | R+29.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2002-10-26 | 500 | 0 | R+4.9 | D+4.9 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_CO | Gov-G | 2002-10-24 | 500 | R+27.0 | R+29.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2002-10-23 | 500 | D+1.0 | R+4.9 | D+5.9 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_IA | Gov-G | 1998-10-26 | 408 | 0 | D+5.8 | R+5.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_IA | Gov-G | 1998-10-20 | 408 | R+2.0 | D+5.8 | R+7.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_IA | Gov-G | 1998-10-14 | 408 | R+8.0 | D+5.8 | R+13.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.