Jeff Hurd 46% · Dwayne Romero 47%
- Field dates
- Oct 20–Oct 21, 2026
- Sample
- 402 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Democratic-sponsored
Pollster file
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 8
- Mean absolute error
- 7.47percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.03
- Represented cycles
- 32016–2022
- Current archive
- 5canonical records
- History span
- Oct 20, 2016through Oct 31, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2016 · 2020 · 2022
8 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
5 shown · 5 total
House
Cuellar +20Texas’ 28th · House
Henry Cuellar 54% · Tano Tijerina 34%
- Field dates
- Oct 7–Oct 13, 2026
- Sample
- 563 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Democratic-sponsored
House
Knickerbocker +3Ohio’s 10th · House
Mike Turner 44% · Kristina Knickerbocker 47% · Thomas McMasters 4%
- Field dates
- Oct 12–Oct 13, 2026
- Sample
- 535 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Democratic-sponsored
Brian Steil 48% · Mitchell Berman 48%
- Field dates
- Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026
- Sample
- 495 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Democratic-sponsored
House
TiedOhio’s 9th · House
Marcy Kaptur 48% · Derek Merrin 48%
- Field dates
- Sep 22–Sep 23, 2026
- Sample
- 481 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Democratic-sponsored
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
8 shown · 8 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | PA-12 · House | House-G | 2022-10-31 | 785 | D+14.0 | D+12.4 | D+1.6 |
| 2022 | RI-2 · House | House-G | 2022-10-24 | 812 | 0 | D+3.7 | R+3.7 |
| 2022 | NY-19 · House | House-G | 2022-08-07 | 480 | R+3.0 | D+2.9 | R+5.9 |
| 2020 | TX-3 · House | House-G | 2020-10-21 | 432 | D+2.0 | R+12.2 | D+14.2 |
| 2020 | WA-3 · House | House-G | 2020-10-20 | 425 | R+2.0 | R+13.0 | D+11.0 |
| 2020 | CO-3 · House | House-G | 2020-10-20 | 491 | D+1.0 | R+6.2 | D+7.2 |
| 2020 | CA-25 · House | House-G | 2020-05-08 | 675 | D+2.0 | R+9.7 | D+11.7 |
| 2016 | UT-4 · House | House-G | 2016-10-20 | 478 | R+8.0 | R+12.4 | D+4.5 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.